Ones to Watch: 10 April 2017

Americas: protests over Ecuadorian election continue while ELN peace talks under threat Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; terrorism; civil unrest On 7 April Ecuadorian police forces raided the headquarters of polling firm Cedatos. Cedatos’ exit poll for the 2 April presidential election, which showed a six-point advantage for losing opposition candidate Guillermo Lasso, has…

Inter-Kurdish rivalries spill to the fore

Key sectors: security; energy; trade Key risks: civil unrest; political violence; business interruption The rivalries between Iraqi Kurdish armed groups came sharply into relief in early March. On 3 March, armed clashes broke out between Rojava Peshmerga forces, security personnel funded by the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KD) in the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) of Iraq, and the…

Ones to Watch: 3 April 2017

Americas: trial that could lead to Temer’s fall set to begin in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; strikes and demonstrations; corruption fallout; governability     In Brazil, the Supreme Electoral Court (TSE) will begin the trial to define whether the 2014 Rousseff-Temer ticket should be annulled due to illegal electoral financing. The ruling could…