Explore the insights of our team of analysts, regional experts and security risk specialists.

 

Inter-Kurdish rivalries spill to the fore

Key sectors: security; energy; trade Key risks: civil unrest; political violence; business interruption The rivalries between Iraqi Kurdish armed groups came sharply into relief in early March. On 3 March, armed clashes broke out between Rojava Peshmerga forces, security personnel funded by the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KD) in the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) of Iraq, and the…

Ones to Watch: 3 April 2017

Americas: trial that could lead to Temer’s fall set to begin in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; strikes and demonstrations; corruption fallout; governability     In Brazil, the Supreme Electoral Court (TSE) will begin the trial to define whether the 2014 Rousseff-Temer ticket should be annulled due to illegal electoral financing. The ruling could…

United Kingdom: After the Westminster attack

Key sectors: all Key risks: terrorism; political violence The 22 March car and knife attack in Westminster has highlighted security concerns in the UK once again. As of the time of writing, five people including the 52-year-old attacker, Kent-born Adrian Russel Elms, died in the attack. The incident has both seen praise for the security…

Ones to Watch: 27 March 2017

Americas: Ecuador to face historic presidential runoff Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy continuity; social unrest     In Ecuador, a historic presidential runoff is scheduled to take place on 2 April between ruling party Alianza Pais (AP) candidate Lenin Moreno and opposition centre-right Creando Oportunidades (CREO) candidate Guillermo Lasso. Even though Lasso appeared to…

Ones to Watch: 20 March 2017

Americas: new corruption probes to stoke political instability, governability risks in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; strikes and demonstrations; corruption fallout; governability In Brazil, President Michel Temer’s administration will likely face increased political instability and governability risks over the coming weeks and months. On 14 March General Prosecutor Rodrigo Janot requested the Supreme…