Explore the insights of our team of analysts, regional experts and security risk specialists.

 

Ones to Watch: 8 May 2017

Americas: Unrest likely as former president Lula testifies in Petrobras corruption probe Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political instability; corruption fallout In Brazil, former president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is scheduled to be questioned on 10 May in the first of five trials linked to the Petrobras corruption probe which could threaten his 2018 presidential bid.…

Further into chaos

Date first published: 27/04/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: violent unrest; looting; deadly clashes; deadly clashes Violence has once again erupted in crisis-ridden Venezuela. At least 29 people have been killed since the pro-government Supreme Court of Justice (TSJ) ruled on 29 March to take over the legislative powers of the opposition-led National Assembly (NA). Unprecedented regional and…

Will France’s two-round electoral system fail?

Date first published: 20/04/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability The outcome of France’s upcoming 28 April first-round presidential election will likely be very tight, with all the first four contenders having significant changes of reaching the run-off. Far-left candidate Jean-Luc Melenchon has surged dramatically in polls in recent weeks, raising the real possibility of a…

Ones to Watch: 24 April 2017

Americas: anti-government demonstrations to continue in Venezuela; high risk of violence Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; political instability; looting In Venezuela, anti-government demonstrations are expected to persist at least over the coming days as the opposition plans to continue to take to the streets to demand early presidential elections, the release of…