Date first published: 22/04/2025
Key sectors: all
Key risks: regional war; disarmament
Risk development
On 7 April reports emerged that several Iran-backed Shi'ah militias were considering disarmament following United States (US) warnings to the Iraqi government that failure to dismantle could lead to targeted airstrikes. Militias reportedly received tacit approval from Tehran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to pursue this path. Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani is leading “advanced talks” with militia leaders to bring all weapons under state control, possibly by integrating the groups into the Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) or transitioning them into political parties.
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