Date first published: 02/10/2025 Key sectors: media; all Key risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; political stability Risk development On 3 October at least eight people were arrested as approximately 2,000 people, including former president Ibrahim Solih, marched against government corruption and curtailing of media freedoms in the capital, Male. Police deployed the use of riot […]
Americas: Bolivia gears up for presidential runoff on 19 October Sectors: allKey Risks: policy uncertainty; political polarisation; governance In Bolivia, on 19 October voters will elect President Luis Arce’s successor in the run-off election, with the winner set to take office on 8 November. A recent IPSOS-Ciesmori poll showed right-wing former president Jorge ‘Tuto’ Quiroga […]
Date first published: 02/10/2025 Key sectors: energy; political; fiscal stability; investment Key risks: political stability; economic risks; business risks Risk development On 27 September oil exports from the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) resumed through the Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline after a two-and-a-half-year suspension. The restart followed a 22 September agreement between Baghdad, the Kurdistan regional Government […]
Americas: Four killed in US military strike on drug-smuggling vessel off the coast of Venezuela Sectors: allKey Risks: targeted attacks; regional escalation In Venezuela, on 3 October four people were killed in a US military strike against an alleged drug-smuggling vessel in the Caribbean sea off the country’s coast. This came after three US military […]
Date first published: 30/09/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; civil unrest Risk development On 28 September the pro-European Party of Action of Solidarity (PAS) of President Maia Sandu won the parliamentary elections, securing a comfortable majority of 55 seats in the 101-seat parliament. The pro-Russian Patriotic Bloc (BEP) came second with 24.2 per […]
Americas: One protester killed, 12 soldiers injured in violent clashes in Ecuador Sectors: allKey Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes In Ecuador, on 28 September one protester was killed and 12 soldiers were injured in violent clashes during protests against the rise of fuel prices in Cotachi, Imambura province. Officials reported the 12 soldiers were injured […]
Date first published: 18/09/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: armed conflict; regional conflict; organised crime Risk development On 15 September US President Donald Trump reported that three “confirmed narcoterrorists” were killed in a US military strike on a boat allegedly carrying drugs from Venezuela in the Caribbean Sea. This followed a similar US military strike […]
Americas: Thousands participate in anti-government protests for second day in Peru Sectors: allKey Risks: political stability; civil unrest; disruptive unrest; violent clashes In Peru, on 21 September thousands demonstrated in the second day of anti-government protests in the capital Lima. Violent protests – spearheaded by ‘Generation Z’ youth and various activist groups – erupted on […]
Date first published: 16/09/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; political violence; violent clashes; Risk development On 8 September ‘Gen Z’ student-led protests mobilised tens of thousands of people countrywide, triggered by a ban on social media activity – widely seen as authoritarian overreach. Protesters repeatedly clashed with security forces and police opened […]
Americas: Contractors protest outside state oil firm Pemex’s facilities in Mexico Sectors: oil and gasKey Risks: business risks; business disruptions; industrial action In Mexico, on 9 September dozens of contractors from Veracruz and Oaxaca states – including suppliers and local construction companies – protested outside state-owned oil company Pemex’s facilities in the capital Mexico City, […]
Date first published: 09/09/2025 Key sectors: oil & gas Key risks: armed conflict Risk development On 31 August the Sudanese Ministry of Energy and Petroleum announced an emergency shutdown of oil production in the Heglig oilfields, citing drone attacks conducted by paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) on 26 and 30 August near the production facilities. […]
Americas: Venezuelan government boosts troops amid rising tensions with Washington Sectors: allKey Risks: regional escalation; gang violence; government instability In Venezuela, on 7 September President Nicolas Maduro’s government ordered additional troops to tackle drug trafficking in coastal states – including the Guajira region of Zulia state and the Paraguana peninsula in Falcon state – as […]
