Date first published: 26/05/2026 Key sectors: all Key risks: regional conflict; political stability; governance Risk development On 18 May the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Israel established a joint defence fund, demonstrating how the Middle East war – initiated by the United States (US) and Israel against Iran – has been accelerating security cooperation between […]
Americas: Insecurity and uncertainty rise ahead of 31 May presidential election in Colombia Sectors: allKey Risks: political violence; political uncertainty; targeted attacks; political polarisation In Colombia, on 23 May presidential candidates concluded campaigning ahead of the 31 May election, with polls indicating that no candidate is likely to win outright and that a polarising 21 […]
Date first published: 19/05/2026 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability, political impasse, government instability Risk development Makerfield is an unremarkable post-industrial constituency on the western edge of Greater Manchester. It is an unlikely setting for a contest that may determine the future of the Labour Party and the next occupant of Downing Street. On 14 May […]
Americas: Disruptive anti-government protests persist in Bolivia Sectors: mining; allKey Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; violent clashes In Bolivia, on 16 May military and police forces clashed with demonstrators near La Paz while attempting to clear roadblocks set up during nationwide antigovernment protests. Around 3,500 security personnel were deployed for the operation. 57 arrests were […]
Date first published: 07/05/2026 Key sectors: political Key risks: political stability; governance; political polarisation; economic risks; business risks; tribal violence; sanctions Risk development On 27 April Iraq’s President Nizar Amedi, who was elected on 11 April, nominated businessman Ali al-Zaidi as prime minister-designate following months of political deadlock within the Shi’ah Coordination Framework (CF). The […]
Americas: Government calls for early talks on Glencore’s Cerrejon coal mine closure in Colombia Sectors: miningKey Risks: frustration of process; business risks; policy uncertainty; regulatory changes In Colombia, on 8 May President Gustavo Petro’s government urged Glencore to begin talks with local authorities and community representatives in La Guajira over the potential future closure of […]
Americas: Mining protests trigger project suspension in the Dominican Republic Sectors: miningKey Risks: civil unrest; business risks; regulatory changes; policy uncertainty In the Dominican Republic, on 4 May President Luis Abinader ordered the suspension of all activity linked to Canadian GoldQuest Mining’s Romero gold and copper project in San Juan province. The suspension followed large-scale […]
Date first published: 23/04/2026 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; governance; policy uncertainty; economic risks Risk development On 20 April former president Rumen Radev’s newly formed centre-left Progressive Bulgaria (PB) party won a landslide victory in the 19 April snap parliamentary election with 44.7 per cent of the vote and 135 seats, securing an […]
Americas: 20 killed, 36 injured in explosive attack on bus in Colombia Sectors: allKey Risks: gang violence; targeted attacks In Colombia, on 25 April at least 20 people were killed and 36 were injured in an IED attack on a bus along the Pan-American Highway in Cajibio, Cauca department, in one of the deadliest recent […]
Date first published: 21/04/2026 Key sectors: all; oil and gas Key risks: supply chain disruptions; inflation, oil shortages Risk development On 28 February, the United States (US) and Israel launched coordinated airstrikes on Iran, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and prompting Tehran to close the Strait of Hormuz. The resulting supply disruption is the largest […]
Americas: Calls grow to remove election chief as vote count drags on in Peru Sectors: allKey Risks: political stability; political uncertainty In Peru, on 17 April, calls intensified to remove electoral authority chief Piero Corvetto as delays and alleged irregularities continued to cloud the presidential vote count, with no clear second-place candidate emerging to face […]
Date first published: 14/042026 Key sectors: defence and security; energy; infrastructure Key risks: civil war; political impasse Risk development On 1 April satellite imagery revealed that at least three Chinese and Turkish unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), alongside ground control systems, had been deployed at Al Khadim Air Base near Benghazi between April and December 2025, […]
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