Date first published: 05/02/2026 Key sectors: all Key risks: economic risks; business risks; frustration of process Risk development On 29 January Saudi Arabia unveiled a new National Privatisation Strategy aimed at significantly expanding the role of public-private partnerships (PPPs) in developing, operating and managing gigaprojects, in line with the goals of Vision 2030. The strategy […]
Americas: Remains of one of 10 kidnapped miners found in Mexico Sectors: all; miningKey Risks: gang violence; kidnapping; business risks In Mexico, on 6 February authorities confirmed that the remains of one of the 10 kidnapped miners of the Canadian Vizsla Silver Corp company were found in Concordia, Sinaloa state. The 10 miners – including […]
Date first published: 29/01/2026 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; political violence; political stability Risk development On 22 January Chief of Defence and son of President Yoweri Museveni, Muhoozi Kainerugaba, claimed that 30 people were killed and 2,000 were arrested around the 15 January election period. Kainerugaba’s inflammatory posts on X (formerly Twitter) […]
Americas: Right-wing populist Fernandez wins presidential election in Costa Rica Sectors: allKey Risks: policy continuity In Costa Rica, on 2 February right-wing populist Laura Fernandez of the Sovereign People’s Party won the 1 February presidential election with 48.3 per cent of the vote based on 94 per cent of ballots counted. Fernandez’s rival, Alvaro Ramos […]
Date first published: 27/01/2026 Key sectors: all; defence; mining Key risks: geopolitical tensions; regional conflict; economic risks; business risks; trade friction Risk development On 21 January US President Donald Trump backed down from his threat of tariffs on European countries, ruled out the use of military force and signalled that a ‘framework’ deal was reached […]
Americas: US restricts visas for two Haitian transitional council members following PM ouster Sectors: allKey Risks: political stability; political uncertainty; gang violence; civil unrest; governability In Haiti, on 25 January Washington stated it was imposing visa restrictions and revoking visas for two members of the transitional presidential council and their immediate families due to their […]
Date first published: 20/01/2026 Key sectors: all Key risks: regional tensions; civil war; economic risks; business risks Risk development On 9 January reports indicated that the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) was close to signing a US$1.5bln arms deal with Pakistan. The deal included the purchase of 10 Karakoram-8 light attack aircraft, 200 drones and advanced […]
Americas: Guatemala declares state of emergency after seven police officers killed in prison riots Sectors: allKey Risks: gang violence In Guatemala, on 18 January President Bernardo Arevalo’s government declared a nationwide 30-day state of emergency and retook control over two prisons and freed 34 guards. This came after at least seven police officers and one […]
Date first published: 13/01/2026 Key sectors: all; oil and gas Key risks: political stability; governability; economic risks; regional escalation; regional conflict Risk development Early on 3 January United States (US) President Donald Trump’s administration launched an overnight military operation in Caracas and surrounding states, with US Special Forces capturing president Nicolas Maduro and his […]
Americas: Disputes between gangs to intensify after human heads found hanging in Ecuador Sectors: allKey Risks: violent clashes; gang violence In Ecuador, on 11 January five human heads were found hanging from ropes, with a warning sign next to them directed at alleged extortionists of fishermen, at a beach in the fishing port of Puerto […]
Date first published: 06/01/2026 Key sectors: all Key risks: economic risks; business risks; political stability Risk development On 27 December 2025 Senegal announced it had raised CFA560bln (US$1bln) on the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) securities market in its fourth and final bond sale of 2025. Exceeding its CFA400bln target, the sale was […]
Americas: Acting president signals cooperation after US threatens further strikes in Venezuela Sectors: all; oil and gasKey Risks: Political stability; government instability; policy uncertainty; civil unrest; regional escalation In Venezuela, on 4 January acting president Delcy Rodriguez signalled a willingness to cooperate with Washington, prioritising “peace and dialogue”, though the legitimacy of her leadership is […]
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