Americas: Heightened risk of social unrest ahead of 25 June general elections in Guatemala Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political violence; electoral fraud In Guatemala, on 25 June citizens will go to the polls to elect the next president and new members of congress amid record low public trust in the country’s institutions. Only […]
Date first published: 13/06/2023 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; arbitrary detentions; civil unrest Risk development On 25 May the Constitutional Council rejected an appeal from the main opposition Candlelight Party to participate in the forthcoming general election scheduled for 23 July. The decision upheld the 15 May Election Commission ruling barring the […]
Americas: Trinidad and Tobago looking to restart idle LNG train in 2027 to boost output, exports Sectors: oil and gas Key Risks: business risk In Trinidad and Tobago, on 8 June reports emerged indicating that the government plans to restart an idled liquefied natural gas (LNG) train – that was forced to shut down in […]
Date first published: 01/06/2023 Key sectors: all Key risks: internal conflict; political stability; political violence Risk development On 19 May Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) warmly embraced President Bashar al-Assad on his arrival in the Saudi city of Jeddah to attend the Arab League summit for the first time in 11 […]
Americas: Government and ELN guerrilla to conclude third round of peace talks in Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency; targeted attacks; violent clashes; violent crime; kidnapping In Colombia, on 8 June the government and the leftist ELN guerrilla group are set to conclude the ongoing third round of peace talks – which began on […]
Date first published: 30/05/2023 Key sectors: all Key risks: war on land Risk development On 21 May members of the Russian anti-Kremlin partisan groups that have contributed to the fight against Russia’s invasion of Ukraine – the Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK) and the Freedom of Russia Legion – crossed the border from Ukraine’s Sumy Oblast into Kozinka […]
Americas: Government rules out cash compensation after seizing private firm’s railway in Mexico Sectors: transport; all Key Risks: business risk; confiscation; frustration of process In Mexico, on 24 May leftist President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) stated that government compensation to Grupo Mexico would not include cash after his government “temporarily” seized part of the […]
Date first published: 18/05/2023 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; policy uncertainty; civil unrest; coup d’état Risk development Pita Limjaroenrat – the leader of the progressive Move Forward Party (MFP) – has claimed the right to form the next government following the party’s unprecedented victory in the 14 May general election. On 18 […]
Americas: Ecuador’s President Lasso dissolves National Assembly; political risks on the rise Sectors: all Key Risks: policy uncertainty; political instability In Ecuador, on 17 May conservative President Guillermo Lasso issued a decree dissolving the unicameral National Assembly amid impeachment proceedings against him for alleged embezzlement in connection with a contract at state-owned oil transportation company […]
Date first published: 16/05/2023 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest, political violence, economic crisis Risk development Pakistan is facing the greatest threat to its internal stability since 1971 – with the military-dominated system of government challenged. The arrest of former prime minister Imran Khan outside an Islamabad court on 9 May triggered a wave […]
Americas: Tension over new asylum rules in US rises following lifting of Title 42 restrictions Sectors: all Key Risks: social unrest; policy uncertainty In the United States (US), on 11 May Title 42 regulations were lifted and new restrictions were implemented amid efforts to prevent migrants from crossing illegally at its southern border with Mexico. […]
Date first published: 04/05/2023 Key sectors: all Key risks: war on land; civil unrest Risk description On 23 April Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry announced that it would set up a checkpoint on the Lachin Corridor – the only transit route that connects Armenia and the breakaway region of Nagorno-Karabakh (NK). Baku claimed that Yerevan had “abused […]
