Date first published: 28/08/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; political violence; political polarization; arbitrary arrests; governance; civil unrest Risk development On 14 August Aydin Metropolitan Mayor Ozlem Cercioglu and three district mayors officially joined President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP), citing internal divisions within the Republican People’s Party (CHP). […]
Americas: Guyana heads into general elections amid oil boom Sectors: allKey Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; political uncertainty In Guyana, on 1 September voters will cast ballots in general elections to decide whether President Irfaan Ali’s ruling People Progressive Party (PPP) will preserve its parliamentary majority – holding 33 out of 65 seats in the […]
Date first published: 26/08/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; governance; policy uncertainty; economic Risk development On 17 August centrist senator Rodrigo Paz of the Christian Democratic Party (PDC) led the presidential election with 32.18 per cent, followed by conservative former president Jorge ‘Tuto’ Quiroga of the Alianza coalition with 26.94 per cent. The […]
Americas: 19 killed, at least 71 injured in dissident former FARC rebel attacks in Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: targeted attacks; violent clashes In Colombia, on 21 August 19 people were killed and at least 71 were injured in two attacks, which President Gustavo Petro attributed to different dissident former FARC rebel factions. In Cali, […]
Americas: Panama’s government declares state of emergency in Bocas del Toro province Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; violent clashes; vandalism; looting In Panama, on 20 June the government declared a state of emergency (SoE) – suspending certain constitutional protections and banning public gatherings – in Bocas del Toro province until 25 June. […]
Date first published: 17/06/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: diplomatic; economic; war-on-land Risk development On 15 June Rwandan Minister of Foreign Affairs Olivier Nduhungirehe stated that the initial mid-June deadline for a peace deal between Kigali and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) was indicative and that negotiations are still ongoing. This followed comments on […]
Americas: Nationwide protests by former president CFK supporters expected in Argentina Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political stability In Argentina, on 10 June the Supreme Court upheld two lower courts’ 2022 corruption convictions, confirming former president and opposition Justicialist Party (JP) leader Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK)’s six-year prison sentence and a lifelong ban […]
Date first published: 10/06/2025 Key sectors: mining Key risks: business risks; business disruptions; frustration of process Risk development On 29 May the government cancelled 129 mineral exploration permits, primarily focused on the gold, diamond and bauxite mining sectors. The stated reason was to facilitate a switch to a digitised system to reportedly optimise the licensing […]
Americas: Disruptive social security reform protests persist across Panama Sectors: all; agriculture Key Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; violent clashes; business disruptions; business risks In Panama, on 8 June President Jose Raul Mulino urged religious leaders to mediate with striking banana workers amid widespread protests against the controversial social security reform passed in March, alongside […]
Date first published: 29/05/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political violence; gang violence; targeted attacks Risk development On 4 May eight people – including seven Iranian nationals – were arrested in the United Kingdom (UK) during major counter-terrorism operations on suspicion of plotting “terrorist” acts and posing a threat to national security. On 17 May […]
Americas: Voters head to polls in first-ever judicial elections in Mexico Sectors: all Key Risks: governability; governance; political uncertainty; corruption In Mexico, on 1 June voters headed to the polls in the country’s first-ever judicial elections to choose over 2,600 judges, including all nine Supreme Court justices, in a controversial reform pushed by President Claudia […]
Date first published: 22/05/2025 Key sectors: mining; cargo transport Key risks: targeted attacks; civil unrest; kidnapping; business risks; business disruptions; economic risks Risk development On 5 May President Dina Boluarte suspended all mining activity in Pataz province, La Libertad region, for 30 days after the bodies of 13 gold mine workers from local firm R&R […]
