Americas: Concerns over unrest set to persist after constitutional vote in Chile Sectors: all; mining; electricity; banking Key Risks: political stability; policy and regulatory uncertainty; civil unrest; political violence In Chile, the risk of disruptive unrest will remain heightened after voters overwhelmingly rejected the new constitution in the 4 September public referendum. Student-led protests in […]
Date first published: 06/09/2022 Key sectors: oil & gas Key risks: war on land; political violence; political stability Risk development On 27 August at least 32 people were killed and 159 others were injured during clashes in Tripoli – the most significant since 2020 – between militias aligned to the Tripoli-based Government of National […]
Americas: Argentina VP’s assassination attempt heightens political violence, unrest risks Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence; political stability; civil unrest In Argentina, the risk of politically motivated violence and unrest will remain heightened following former president and current Vice President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK) assassination attempt. On 2 September tens of thousands took to […]
Date first published: 30/08/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: sanctions Risk development On 29 August Iranian President Ibrahim Raisi declared that an investigation by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) into ‘safeguards issues’ around unexplained traces of uranium found at undeclared sites must end before any agreement to revive the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan […]
Americas: Chileans to vote on whether to accept or reject the new constitution on 4 September Sectors: all; mining; electricity; banking Key Risks: policy continuity; political stability; political violence; regulatory changes; governability In Chile, a decisive constitutional referendum is scheduled to take place on 4 September. Voters will decide whether to accept or reject the […]
Date first published: 23/08/2022 Key sectors: all; oil and gas; electricity Key risks: terrorism; insurgency; violent crime; targeted attacks; kidnapping Risk development On 20 August leftist President Gustavo Petro announced the suspension of arrest warrants and extradition requests for the leftist National Liberation Army (ELN)’s negotiators amid fresh efforts to restart peace talks with […]
Americas: Colombia’s government and ELN guerrilla increasingly likely to resume peace talks Sectors: all; oil and gas; electricity Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency; targeted attacks; kidnapping In Colombia, on 20 August leftist President Gustavo Petro announced the suspension of arrest warrants and extradition requests for the leftist ELN guerrilla’s negotiators amid renewed efforts to restart peace […]
Date first published: 11/08/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: policy continuity; political stability; economic; business Risk development On 9 August, Kenya held its seventh presidential election, bringing President Uhuru Kenyatta’s turbulent two terms to an end. Approximately 22.1 million people registered to cast their ballots in elections for 1,882 elective posts, including the president, […]
Americas: Paraguay faces heightened instability as corruption allegations into top officials mount Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; corruption; sanctions In Paraguay, mounting corruption allegations against former and current top government officials risk stoking instability risks. On 12 August Vice President Hugo Velazquez announced that he would resign shortly after Washington blacklisted him for “significant […]
Date first published: 04/08/2022 Key sectors: agriculture; shipping; insurance Key risks: supply chain disruption; trade; business risks; sanctions Risk development On 22 July Kyiv and Moscow signed parallel UN and Ankara-brokered deals to allow Ukraine to resume grain exports from its Black Sea ports. The arrangement was immediately called into doubt on 23 July […]
Americas Political tensions remain high as Peru’s Castillo replaces ministers in another reshuffle Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; governability; business and economic risks In Peru, on 5 August far-left President Pedro Castillo replaced six key ministers amid yet another cabinet reshuffle but refused to accept Prime Minister Anibal Torres’s resignation. Former vice economy minister […]
Date first published: 02/08/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: war on land; business risks Risk development US Speaker of the House Representatives Nancy Pelosi is set to travel to Taiwan on 2 August despite stern warnings from Beijing. The controversial visit, which would take place against the backdrop of intensifying strategic competition between China […]
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