Date first published: 23/08/2022 Key sectors: all; oil and gas; electricity Key risks: terrorism; insurgency; violent crime; targeted attacks; kidnapping Risk development On 20 August leftist President Gustavo Petro announced the suspension of arrest warrants and extradition requests for the leftist National Liberation Army (ELN)’s negotiators amid fresh efforts to restart peace talks with […]
Americas: Colombia’s government and ELN guerrilla increasingly likely to resume peace talks Sectors: all; oil and gas; electricity Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency; targeted attacks; kidnapping In Colombia, on 20 August leftist President Gustavo Petro announced the suspension of arrest warrants and extradition requests for the leftist ELN guerrilla’s negotiators amid renewed efforts to restart peace […]
Date first published: 11/08/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: policy continuity; political stability; economic; business Risk development On 9 August, Kenya held its seventh presidential election, bringing President Uhuru Kenyatta’s turbulent two terms to an end. Approximately 22.1 million people registered to cast their ballots in elections for 1,882 elective posts, including the president, […]
Americas: Paraguay faces heightened instability as corruption allegations into top officials mount Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; corruption; sanctions In Paraguay, mounting corruption allegations against former and current top government officials risk stoking instability risks. On 12 August Vice President Hugo Velazquez announced that he would resign shortly after Washington blacklisted him for “significant […]
Date first published: 04/08/2022 Key sectors: agriculture; shipping; insurance Key risks: supply chain disruption; trade; business risks; sanctions Risk development On 22 July Kyiv and Moscow signed parallel UN and Ankara-brokered deals to allow Ukraine to resume grain exports from its Black Sea ports. The arrangement was immediately called into doubt on 23 July […]
Americas Political tensions remain high as Peru’s Castillo replaces ministers in another reshuffle Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; governability; business and economic risks In Peru, on 5 August far-left President Pedro Castillo replaced six key ministers amid yet another cabinet reshuffle but refused to accept Prime Minister Anibal Torres’s resignation. Former vice economy minister […]
Date first published: 02/08/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: war on land; business risks Risk development US Speaker of the House Representatives Nancy Pelosi is set to travel to Taiwan on 2 August despite stern warnings from Beijing. The controversial visit, which would take place against the backdrop of intensifying strategic competition between China […]
Americas Major policy shifts expected as Colombia’s Gustavo Petro takes office on 7 August Sectors: all Key Risks: policy uncertainty; political stability; business risks In Colombia, major policy shifts are expected once President-elect Gustavo Petro becomes the country’s first leftist president on 7 August. Petro’s victory in the tight presidential runoff in June was yet […]
Date first published: 21/07/2022 Key sectors: aviation Key risks: flight disruption, labour shortages, strikes Risk development The COVID-19 pandemic saw a dramatic fall in passenger numbers, forcing airlines and airports to cut services and staff – but after more than two years of crisis, with border restrictions loosening in much of the world and passengers willing […]
Americas Presidential race to heat up as Bolsonaro and Lula officially confirm their candidacies Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence; policy continuity; political instability In Brazil, the presidential race ahead of the 2 October general elections is expected to heat up, with a heightened risk of politically motivated violence. Far-right President Jair Bolsonaro officially launched […]
Date first published: 14/07/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest Risk overview On 1 July 18 people were killed and 243 injured after protesters clashed with security forces in Nukus, the capital of the country’s autonomous republic of Karakalpakstan, amid demonstrations over proposed changes to the constitution in which Karakalpakstan would be stripped […]
Americas: Protests set to continue in Panama despite deal between government and Anadepo Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; strikes; supply chain disruption In Panama, nationwide protests featuring road blockades are set to continue despite a new deal between the government and the Anadepo union, which is leading the ongoing protest movement over rising gasoline […]
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