Date first published: 03/02/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: internal conflict; civil unrest; protests; sanctions; business risks Risk development 1 February marked the first anniversary of the coup d’état in which the military seized power hours before the newly elected parliament was set to convene on 1 February 2021. Opponents of military rule marked […]
Americas: Peru’s crisis deepens as PM’s resignation triggers second cabinet reshuffle in a week Sectors: all; mining; oil Key Risks: political stability; governability; business and economic risks In Peru, on 5 February Hector Valer resigned as prime minister after only days in the post, triggering a second cabinet reshuffle in a week. Far-left President Pedro […]
Date first published: 27/01/2022 Key sectors: all; strategic infrastructure; aviation; oil and gas Key risks: war-on-land; terrorism; cross-border attacks Risk development On 17 January the Huthi militia in Yemen attacked Abu Dhabi with a mix of cruise missiles, ballistic missiles and explosive-laden drones. The attack killed three civilians and injured another six after the […]
Americas: Costa Rica’s general elections likely to lead to presidential runoff, divided Congress Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy uncertainty; governability; civil unrest In Costa Rica, highly uncertain general elections scheduled for 6 February are expected to lead to a 3 April presidential runoff. The presidential vote will be contested between a record number […]
Date first published: 20/01/22 Key sectors: oil and gas Key risks: economic risks Risk development On 11 January the Taliban’s Foreign Minister Amir Khan Muttaqi stated that Kabul will soon sign seven remaining agreements concerning the Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI) gas pipeline, a Turkmen project which would carry 33bcm of natural gas each year from Galkynysh to the Indian […]
Americas: Honduras’s President-elect Castro challenged by congressional split Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy uncertainty; civil unrest; political violence In Honduras, the stage has been set for heightened political and policy instability risks just days ahead of President-elect Xiomara Castro’s inauguration – scheduled for 27 January. On 23 January dissident lawmakers from Castro’s leftist […]
Date first published: 13/01/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; civil unrest Risk development Kazakhstan has experienced the biggest nationwide anti-regime unrest since its independence in 1991. While the protests were partially hijacked by violent groups and individuals, whose identity remain unclear, President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev responded with a large-scale crackdown on protesters. These […]
Americas: Controversy in Chile’s lithium sector set to continue after auction suspended Sectors: mining Key Risks: contract frustration; regulatory uncertainty In Chile, on 14 January an appeals court ordered the suspension of a lithium auction as requested by the governor of Atacama region and by local indigenous communities. The ruling came just two days after […]
Date first published: 06/01/2022 Key sectors: commercial shipping Key risks: political violence; kidnap & ransom Risk development Piracy incidents in the Gulf of Guinea surprisingly declined in 2021 following initial concerns of growing maritime insecurity in the region. 2021 saw the deployment of several foreign naval assets to the region as countries worldwide recognised the coast’s […]
Americas: Brazil’s Petrobras set to finalise Braskem stake sale in February, delays still possible Sectors: oil and gas; petrochemicals Key Risks: business risks; asset sale delays In Brazil, on 7 January state-owned oil company Petrobras announced plans to complete the sale of its 36.1 per cent stake in petrochemical firm Braskem in February, although further […]
Date first published: 30/12/2021 Key sectors: media; all Key risks: civil unrest; terrorism; public health policy Risk development In 2021 violent protests against measures designed to combat the COVID-19 pandemic erupted in dozens of European Union (EU) member states. As 2021 draws to a close, several European countries have reported record-high daily COVID-19 cases […]
Americas: Prime Minister’s assassination attempt highlights Haiti’s deepening instability risks Sectors: all; cargo transport; retail; overland travel Key Risks: political instability; targeted attacks; gang-related violence; disruptive unrest In Haiti, political instability and rampant gang-related violence will remain extremely high risks in 2022, as demonstrated by the assassination attempt on Prime Minister Ariel Henry on 1 […]
