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Ones to Watch, 27 May 2025

Americas:  Colombia’s labour unions to strike in support of President Petro’s referendum Sectors: all Key Risks: industrial action; vandalism; cargo transport In Colombia, on 28 and 29 May labour unions led by the Unitary Workers’ Central (CUT) will stage a 48-hour nationwide strike to pressure Congress into approving President Gustavo Petro’s proposed labour reform referendum. […]

Maldives: A different type of resort

Date first published: 15/05/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: business risks; economic risks; corruption Risk development On 5 May Male, in partnership with the United Arab Emirates-based MBS Global Investments, announced the development of Maldives International Financial Centre (MIFC) – a US$8.8bln project, aimed at establishing a fully sustainable Special Economic Zone (SEZ) in Male, to attract […]

Ones to Watch, 19 May 2025

Americas:  Two police officers, journalist and merchant injured in clashes in Bolivia Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; In Bolivia, on 16 May two police officers, a journalist and a merchant were injured in clashes in the capital La Paz between supporters of former president Evo Morales – including labour unions and social […]

Nigeria: Bandits to the left, insurgents to the right

Date first published: 08/05/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: terrorism; communal violence; banditry Risk development Between 4 and 20 April multiple-casualty attacks occurred in the country’s North-East, North-West and North-Central geopolitical zones. Over 110 people were killed in two attacks by Fulani militias in Plateau state on 4 and 14 April. On 19 April more […]

Ones to Watch, 12 May 2025

Americas:  Various unions, organisations to stage anti-government strikes throughout Peru Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; business disruption In Peru, on 14 May numerous unions and organisations – including commercial, student and labour – will stage a day of nationwide strikes against President Dina Boluarte’s government’s failure to effectively address rising violence in […]

Jordan: Endgame for the Brotherhood?

Date first published: 01/05/2025 Key sectors: defence, politics Key risks: political stability; political violence Risk development On 15 April Jordanian authorities arrested 16 individuals and on 1 May sentenced four to 20 years, due to their alleged links to a Muslim Brotherhood plot to attack multiple targets using drones and rockets. Intelligence officials claimed the […]

Ones to Watch, 6 May 2025

Americas: Government suspends gold mining, imposes curfew in Peru after 13 miners killed  Sectors: all; mining Key Risks: targeted attacks; business risks; business disruptions; kidnapping In Peru, on 5 May President Dina Boluarte’s government suspended mining in Pataz district, La Libertad region, for 30 days and imposed a 12-hour curfew from 18:00 to 6:00 local […]

Brazil: Irreconciliation of agrobusiness and indigenous land claims

Date first published: 24/04/2025 Key sectors: agriculture; mining; forestry Key risks: civil unrest; supply chain disruption; business disruptions; trade disruptions Risk development Between 26 March and 8 April indigenous protests in the Amazon rainforest, Para state, led to a disruption of soybean shipments via the Miritituba river port, halting 70,000 tonnes of grain per day […]

Ones to Watch, 28 April 2025

Americas: Six soldiers killed in Colombia amid a spate of attacks against security forces  Sectors: all Key Risks: targeted attacks; violent clashes In Colombia, on 27 April six soldiers were killed following an attack from the ‘Jorge Briceno’ front of the General Staff of the Blocs and Fronts (EMBF) factions of the EMC – the […]

Iraq: Blurring lines of authority

Date first published: 22/04/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: regional war; disarmament Risk development On 7 April reports emerged that several Iran-backed Shi’ah militias were considering disarmament following United States (US) warnings to the Iraqi government that failure to dismantle could lead to targeted airstrikes. Militias reportedly received tacit approval from Tehran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard […]

Ones to Watch, 22 April 2025

Americas: Argentina’s ATE public sector union to protest against wage agreement on 23 April Sectors: all Key Risks: industrial action In Argentina, on 15 April the public sector union, the State Workers Association (ATE), announced a day of protests scheduled for 23 April in Buenos Aires to reject the collective bargaining agreement. The ATE denounced […]

Brazil-Paraguay: Itaipu spying scandal strains relations

Date first published: 15/04/2025 Key sectors: energy; infrastructure Key risks: business risks; economic risks; frustration of process; regulatory changes Risk development On 1 April Paraguay suspended negotiations with Brazil over the Itaipu Dam after it was revealed that Brazil’s intelligence agency (Abin) had spied on Paraguayan officials. The cyber espionage operation, carried out under former president Jair […]