Americas: Chile’s Constituent Assembly to start drafting new constitution on 4 July Sectors: all Key Risks: policy uncertainty; political instability; protests; political violence In Chile, the Constituent Assembly (CA) tasked with drafting a new constitution is scheduled to hold its first session on 4 July. The CA, whose 155 members were elected in mid-May, will […]
Ones to Watch Americas: Protests against Bolsonaro’s COVID-19 response expected to persist across Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political stability; policy-making In Brazil, protests against President Jair Bolsonaro’s handling of the COVID-19 pandemic are expected to continue to regularly occur. On 19 June thousands took to the streets in Brasilia, Rio de Janeiro, […]
Americas: Pedro Castillo expected to win Peru’s presidential runoff, pending results Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; governability; economic risks; policy continuity; civil unrest In Peru, far-left presidential frontrunner Pedro Castillo is expected to be declared the winner of the 6 June presidential runoff in the coming days. His conservative opponent, Keiko Fujimori, has so […]
Americas: Crackdown on Nicaraguan opposition to further intensify ahead of November vote Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; arbitrary detentions; crackdown on political opposition; civil unrest In Nicaragua, an ongoing government-led crackdown on the opposition is set to continue to intensify ahead of the 7 November general elections. On 5 June opposition presidential hopeful Arturo […]
Americas: Highly contested presidential runoff in Peru; crucial midterm elections in Mexico Sectors: all Key Risks: governability; economic risks; policy continuity; election-related violence Peru’s highly contested presidential runoff and Mexico’s crucial midterm legislative and local elections are scheduled to take place on 6 June. Recent polls indicate that Peru’s far-left presidential candidate Pedro Castillo – […]
Americas: Conservative Guillermo Lasso takes office in Ecuador Sectors: all Key Risks: governability; economic risks; policy continuity; civil In Ecuador, conservative Guillermo Lasso of the centre-right CREO party is scheduled to take office as the country’s president on 24 May after securing a surprise win in April’s presidential runoff against leftist candidate Andres Arauz. Lasso, […]
Americas: Venezuela’s Maduro and Guaido mull fresh talks; meaningful results to remain elusive Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; economic risks; sanctions; protests In Venezuela, efforts to re-launch negotiations between President Nicolas Maduro and the opposition will continue to face significant challenges. On 11 May opposition leader Juan Guaido – recognised by the US and […]
Americas: Chile to hold delayed Constituent Assembly and municipal elections on 15-16 May Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; protests; political violence; policy uncertainty In Chile, long-awaited Constituent Assembly (CA) and municipal elections are scheduled to take place on 16-17 May. Both votes, originally scheduled for early April, were postponed due to a surge in […]
Americas: Violent unrest set to continue in Colombia despite tax reform withdrawal Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; protests; political violence; economic risks In Colombia, violent unrest is expected over the coming days as demonstrations over a now-scrapped tax reform have transformed into widespread anger over inequality, poverty and police brutality. At least 19 people […]
Americas: Fresh early pension withdrawals over COVID-19 stoke political tensions in Chile Sectors: all Key Risks: economic risks; political instability; protests In Chile, controversy over private pension savings is expected to continue over the coming days after both houses of Congress on 23 April approved a third 10 per cent early withdrawal of such savings […]
Americas: Controlled transition expected as Raul Castro resigns from Cuba’s PCC leadership Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; crackdown on dissent; economic risks In Cuba, on 16 April Raul Castro confirmed his expected resignation from the presidency of the Cuban Communist Party (PCC) during the party’s four-day congress. The Castro brothers – first late Fidel […]
Americas: Peru’s highly uncertain presidential election leads to 6 June runoff Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy uncertainty; business risks In Peru, a presidential runoff will take place on 6 June as none of the 18 presidential candidates managed to reach the 50 per cent threshold to win outright in the 11 April general […]
