Venezuela: The Gordian knot

Date first published: 9/5/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: insurrection; political instability; arbitrary arrests; civil unrest; military intervention The failure of the 30 April uprising against President Nicolas Maduro’s regime has intensified the country’s political crisis and raised the risk of escalation, at both domestic and international levels. In the early hours of that...

Ones to Watch, 7 May 2019

Americas: First lawsuits hit Cuba after US Helms Burton Act Title III took effect on 2 May Sectors: all Key Risks: business disruption; lawsuits; confiscation; diplomatic fallout In Cuba, bilateral tensions with the US are expected to further increase after the controversial activation of Title III of the 1996 Helms Burton Act on 2...

Ones to Watch, 29 April 2019

Americas: Panama’s upcoming general elections unlikely to significantly alter main policies Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; corruption; economic and business risks In Panama, general elections to choose a new president, all 71 members of Congress and 81 mayors will take place on 5 May. The presidential candidates from the three main parties are...

Ukraine: Landslide of uncertainty

Date first published: 23/4/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil war; terrorism; project disruption Volodymyr Zelensky’s landslide victory, with 73 per cent of votes, in Ukraine’s 21 April presidential runoff ushers in a new political era for the country, but his vague platform and the myriad challenges the country faces mean that there is now...