Political Risk Outlook Q1 2019 – Ones to Watch

AKE's Political Risk Outlook Special Report contains a selection of five countries from around the world where the political landscape was fundamentally altered in Q1, and provides forecasts for Q2 2019. AKE's political risk outlook map draws on our rigorous risk ratings for the main economic, regulatory and political hurdles facing countries across the...

Ones to Watch, 8 April 2019

Americas: Agreement to end two-month blockade at Peru’s Las Bambas copper mine reached Sectors: extractive industries Key Risks: force majeure; civil unrest; disruptive blockades; protests In Peru, the indigenous Fuerabamba community agreed to end a two-month blockade affecting Chinese MMG’s Las Bambas copper mine exports and production in return for economic concessions. Shipments of...

Tonga: A litmus test for democracy

Date first published: 2/4/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability Recent developments in Tonga have thrown the political landscape into renewed tumult. On 26 March, King Tupou VI referred government corruption allegations to the Ombudsman Commission, the Attorney General’s office and the Police Commissioner for further investigation. The allegations were contained in petitions submitted...

Ones to Watch, 1 April 2019

Americas: Venezuela to face heightened tensions, risk of escalation      Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; military intervention; sanctions; arbitrary arrests; civil unrest In Venezuela, tensions are expected to continue to heighten as discontent over persistent massive nationwide blackouts and water shortages add weight to the ongoing unprecedented crisis. Moreover, the recent arrival of...

Russia-Turkey: Dangerous liaisons

Date first published: 26/3/2019 Key sectors: defence; energy Key risks: sanctions In 2017 Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan agreed a US$2.5bln purchase Russia’s S-400 missile defence. The long-range anti-aircraft missile system is capable of destroying medium range cruise and ballistic weapons as well as on-ground targets. Turkey aims to deploy the system by October 2019...