Ones to Watch, 30 December 2024

Americas: Indigenous protests against maximum security prison likely to continue in Ecuador Sectors: all; cargo; mining Key Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; traffic disruption In Ecuador, on 16 December President Daniel Noboa’s government announced a suspension of the construction of a maximum-security prison in Archidona, Napo province. The announcement came in response to protests by […]
Ones to Watch, 12 February 2024

Americas: Risk of arbitration proceedings in Mexico as AMLO’s administration expropriates plant Sectors: all; oil and gas Key Risks: frustration of process; CEND; international arbitration; business risks In Mexico, on 9 February President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO)’s administration ordered the expropriation of a hydrogen plant – run by French company Air Liquide since 2017 […]
Ones to Watch, 5 February 2024

Americas: Widespread disruptive protests by Morales’s supporters set to continue in Bolivia Sectors: all; cargo transport Key Risks: civil unrest; political violence; violent clashes; business interruption In Bolivia, on 1 February at least 14 police officers were injured in clashes with former president Evo Morales’s supporters in Caracollo, Oruro department. Security forces fired tear gas […]
Ones to Watch, 29 January 2024

Americas: El Salvador’s Bukele set to secure controversial second term in 4 February election Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy continuity; democratic backsliding In El Salvador, on 4 February voters will head to the polls to elect the next president and all 60 deputies of the Legislative Assembly. A 16 January poll showed President […]
Ones to Watch, 22 January 2024

Americas: Disruption expected during 12-hour general strike on 24 January in Argentina Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; business interruption; economic In Argentina, on 24 January a general strike – called by the powerful General Confederation of Labour (CGT) on 28 December 2023 – is set to take place to protest far-right President Javier Milei’s […]
Ones to Watch, 15 January 2024

Americas: Chile’s SQM suspends lithium mining operations due to protests in Antofagasta region Sectors: mining Key Risks: civil unrest; business interruption In Chile, on 13 January SQM – the world’s second-largest lithium producer – stated that it had suspended operations at the Atacama salt flat, Antofagasta region, due to road blockades by local indigenous protesters. […]
Ones to Watch, 8 January 2024

Americas: Arevalo to take office on 14 January despite obstruction attempts in Guatemala Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; sanctions In Guatemala, on 14 January President-elect Bernardo Arevalo is set to take office, having faced numerous challenges by the Attorney General’s Office to prevent his accession and to ban his Seed Movement party. On 8 […]
Ones to Watch, 2 January 2024

Americas: Heightened CEND risks as Pemex temporarily occupies hydrogen plant in Mexico Sectors: oil and gas Key Risks: frustration of process; CEND; business risks In Mexico, on 29 December the government decreed the immediate temporary occupation by state-owned oil firm Pemex of a hydrogen plant – operated by French company Air Liquide since 2017 – […]
Ones to Watch, 27 December 2023

Americas: Heightened protest risks in Cuba amid government plans to hike prices or cut rations Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; economic In Cuba, on 22 December President Miguel Diaz-Canel’s government stated that it would have to either increase fuel and electricity prices or reduce rations for basic supplies amid a deepening economic crisis. The […]
Ones to Watch, 18 December 2023

Americas: Risk of disruptive unrest and potential clashes in Argentina on 20 December Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; traffic disruption In Argentina, on 20 December unions and social organisations plan to protest President Javier Milei’s austerity measures in the capital Buenos Aires. On 12 December the Economy Ministry devalued the peso by […]
Ones to Watch, 11 December 2023

Americas: Chile’s second constitutional referendum to take place on 17 December Sectors: all Key Risks: policy and regulatory uncertainty; political instability; civil unrest In Chile, a second constitutional referendum is scheduled for 17 December when a new constitutional draft – the first one was rejected in 2022 by 62 per cent of votes – will […]
Ones To Watch, 4 December 2023

Americas: Canadian FQM initiates international arbitration over Cobre Panama copper mine Sectors: mining; all Key Risks: frustration of contract; international arbitration; business risks; economic In Panama, on 1 December Canadian miner FQM initiated international arbitration over a contested contract renewal with President Laurentino Cortizo’s government. On 28 November the Supreme Court unanimously ruled that the […]