Ones to Watch: 12 December 2016

Americas: Temer faces crucial Senate vote amid increased corruption-fallout risk Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy uncertainty; violent civil unrest; strikes In Brazil, the Senate is expected to hold the final vote on President Michel Temer’s proposed constitutional amendment to cap public spending on 13 December. Temer’s controversial fiscal austerity plan has recently fuelled…

Ones to Watch: 5 December 2016

Americas: FARC resume disarmament and demobilisation process Sectors: all Key Risks: insurgency; terrorism; political stability In Colombia, the FARC resumed their disarmament and demobilisation process on 1 December following the Congress’ ratification of the 12 November revised final peace deal reached between the FARC and the government. The accord’s implementation will not be without challenges.…

Ones to Watch: 14 November 2016

Americas: Colombia reaches revised final peace deal with the FARC Sectors: all Key Risks: insurgency; terrorism; political stability In Colombia, the coming weeks will be crucial in securing the 12 November revised final peace deal reached between the government and the FARC. The accord came six weeks after the rejection of an earlier agreement in…

Ones to Watch: 7 November 2016

Americas: increased risk of unrest as US heads to the polls Sectors:  all Key Risks: civil unrest; electoral violence In the United States, a particularly polarising campaign in the run up to the 8 November general elections underscores the potential for localised protests, although violent incidents are highly unlikely to be widespread. The vast majority…

Ones to Watch: 17 October 2016

Americas: Peru continues to face mining-related violent unrest Sectors: mining, energy Key Risks: civil unrest, business interruption In Peru, further violent unrest against China’s MMG Las Bambas copper mine in the south-central Apurimac region cannot be ruled out. On 14 October a protester was killed and several others were injured as demonstrations against the mine…