Date first published: 02/10/2025 Key sectors: media; all Key risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; political stability Risk development On 3 October at least eight people were arrested as approximately 2,000 people, including former president Ibrahim Solih, marched against government corruption and curtailing of media freedoms in the capital, Male. Police deployed the use of riot […]
Date first published: 02/10/2025 Key sectors: energy; political; fiscal stability; investment Key risks: political stability; economic risks; business risks Risk development On 27 September oil exports from the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) resumed through the Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline after a two-and-a-half-year suspension. The restart followed a 22 September agreement between Baghdad, the Kurdistan regional Government […]
Date first published: 30/09/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; civil unrest Risk development On 28 September the pro-European Party of Action of Solidarity (PAS) of President Maia Sandu won the parliamentary elections, securing a comfortable majority of 55 seats in the 101-seat parliament. The pro-Russian Patriotic Bloc (BEP) came second with 24.2 per […]
Date first published: 18/09/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: armed conflict; regional conflict; organised crime Risk development On 15 September US President Donald Trump reported that three “confirmed narcoterrorists” were killed in a US military strike on a boat allegedly carrying drugs from Venezuela in the Caribbean Sea. This followed a similar US military strike […]
Date first published: 16/09/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; political violence; violent clashes; Risk development On 8 September ‘Gen Z’ student-led protests mobilised tens of thousands of people countrywide, triggered by a ban on social media activity – widely seen as authoritarian overreach. Protesters repeatedly clashed with security forces and police opened […]
Date first published: 09/09/2025 Key sectors: oil & gas Key risks: armed conflict Risk development On 31 August the Sudanese Ministry of Energy and Petroleum announced an emergency shutdown of oil production in the Heglig oilfields, citing drone attacks conducted by paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) on 26 and 30 August near the production facilities. […]
Date first published: 28/08/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; political violence; political polarization; arbitrary arrests; governance; civil unrest Risk development On 14 August Aydin Metropolitan Mayor Ozlem Cercioglu and three district mayors officially joined President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP), citing internal divisions within the Republican People’s Party (CHP). […]
Date first published: 26/08/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; governance; policy uncertainty; economic Risk development On 17 August centrist senator Rodrigo Paz of the Christian Democratic Party (PDC) led the presidential election with 32.18 per cent, followed by conservative former president Jorge ‘Tuto’ Quiroga of the Alianza coalition with 26.94 per cent. The […]
Date first published: 19/08/2025 Key sectors: all; transportation Key risks: war-on-land; business and economic Risk development On 8 August Armenian President Nikol Pashinyan and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev signed a joint declaration pledging to end their decades-long conflict during a meeting with United States (US) President Donald Trump in Washington. The deal grants the US […]
Date first published: 07/08/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: governance; democratic backsliding; political stability; gang violence Risk development On 31 July the ruling New Ideas (NI) party – which dominates the National Assembly – passed a bill with 57 votes in favour and three against, allowing indefinite presidential re-election, extending terms from five to six years and […]
Date first published: 05/08/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: war on land; political instability; coup d’etat Risk development From 24 to 29 July 43 people were killed, 130 were injured and over 250,000 people were evacuated after the Thai and Cambodian militaries engaged in a series of clashes along the border in Surin, Buri Ram, […]
Date first published: 24/07/2025 Key sectors: all; oil and gas Key risks: politic violence; violent clashes; economic risks; business risks; targeted attacks Risk development On 13 July the Cano Limon-Covenas Oil Pipeline was bombed by unidentified assailants in Saravena, Arauca department, prompting the suspension of pumping between oil fields in the northeast and the Caribbean […]
