Date first published: 11/11/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; political stability Risk development On 10 November authorities issued warrants for the arrest of 10 senior opposition figures, including the CHADEMA party’s secretary general, spokesperson and members of its central committee. This followed the 9 November arrest of the party’s deputy secretary […]
Date first published: 4/11/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: sanctions; business disruptions; trade disruptions Risk development On 22 October the United States (US) Treasury Department announced fresh sanctions on Russia’s two biggest oil firms, Rosneft and Lukoil, in a sharp reversal of US policy amid President Donald Trump’s frustration with Russia’s stalling of peace […]
Date first published: 23/10/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; political violence; civil unrest; separatism; terrorism; targeted attacks; regional escalation; regional conflict Risk development On 11 October reports emerged that pressure mounted on the Polisario Front (PF) as UN and African bodies stepped up accusations of the group’s ties to Sahel-based extremist networks. The […]
Date first published: 21/10/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: business risks; economic risks; trade frictions; supply chain disruption Risk development On 10 October United States (US) President Donald Trump announced that he would impose an additional 100 per cent tariff on Chinese imports and introduce export controls on all critical US-made software, starting on 1 November. The […]
Date first published: 02/10/2025 Key sectors: media; all Key risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; political stability Risk development On 3 October at least eight people were arrested as approximately 2,000 people, including former president Ibrahim Solih, marched against government corruption and curtailing of media freedoms in the capital, Male. Police deployed the use of riot […]
Date first published: 02/10/2025 Key sectors: energy; political; fiscal stability; investment Key risks: political stability; economic risks; business risks Risk development On 27 September oil exports from the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) resumed through the Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline after a two-and-a-half-year suspension. The restart followed a 22 September agreement between Baghdad, the Kurdistan regional Government […]
Date first published: 30/09/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; civil unrest Risk development On 28 September the pro-European Party of Action of Solidarity (PAS) of President Maia Sandu won the parliamentary elections, securing a comfortable majority of 55 seats in the 101-seat parliament. The pro-Russian Patriotic Bloc (BEP) came second with 24.2 per […]
Date first published: 18/09/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: armed conflict; regional conflict; organised crime Risk development On 15 September US President Donald Trump reported that three “confirmed narcoterrorists” were killed in a US military strike on a boat allegedly carrying drugs from Venezuela in the Caribbean Sea. This followed a similar US military strike […]
Date first published: 16/09/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; political violence; violent clashes; Risk development On 8 September ‘Gen Z’ student-led protests mobilised tens of thousands of people countrywide, triggered by a ban on social media activity – widely seen as authoritarian overreach. Protesters repeatedly clashed with security forces and police opened […]
Date first published: 09/09/2025 Key sectors: oil & gas Key risks: armed conflict Risk development On 31 August the Sudanese Ministry of Energy and Petroleum announced an emergency shutdown of oil production in the Heglig oilfields, citing drone attacks conducted by paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) on 26 and 30 August near the production facilities. […]
Date first published: 28/08/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; political violence; political polarization; arbitrary arrests; governance; civil unrest Risk development On 14 August Aydin Metropolitan Mayor Ozlem Cercioglu and three district mayors officially joined President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP), citing internal divisions within the Republican People’s Party (CHP). […]
Date first published: 26/08/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; governance; policy uncertainty; economic Risk development On 17 August centrist senator Rodrigo Paz of the Christian Democratic Party (PDC) led the presidential election with 32.18 per cent, followed by conservative former president Jorge ‘Tuto’ Quiroga of the Alianza coalition with 26.94 per cent. The […]