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Afghanistan: The threat to Central Asia

Date first published: 10/8/2021 Key sectors: all Key risks: border clashes; terrorism; humanitarian crisis   Risk development Taliban militants have made significant territorial gains since 1 May 2021, the initial date for the withdrawal of international troops as agreed under the United States (US)-Taliban deal of February 2020. Many of these gains have occurred in […]

Russia-Germany-US: Once a pipedream, now a reality

Date first published: 29/7/2021 Key sectors: oil and gas Key risks: sanctions; policy uncertainty; economic   Risk development On 21 July Berlin and Washington signed an agreement to allow the completion of Nord Stream 2 (NS2), the highly controversial gas pipeline project from Russia to Germany worth US$9.5bln. Nord Stream 2 AG, wholly owned by […]

Haiti: From bad to worse

Date first published: 22/07/2021 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; violent unrest; deadly clashes; crime; kidnap and ransom   Risk development President Jovenel Moise was shot dead in his private residence on 7 July. Just over two weeks after the assassination, the exact details on the perpetrators, including their motives, remain to be confirmed. […]