Risk Insights
Yemen: Southern separatists secede as COVID-19 catastrophe escalates
Date first published: 19/05/2020 Key sectors: all; shipping; construction Key risks: political instability; war on land On 26 April Yemen’s separati...
Venezuela: Déjà-vu
Date first published: 12/05/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; insurrection; governability; civil unrest Attempts to oust Nicolas...
Turkey: Another banking crisis
Date first published: 06/05/2020 Key sectors: banks; state-backed projects; sovereign Key risks: banking crisis Perhaps surprisingly, the COVID-19 pan...
Latin America: Prison riots increase as COVID-19 spreads
Date first published: 28/04/2020 Key sectors: public security; penitentiary systems Key risks: civil unrest; riots; violent clashes The COVID-19 pande...
Tunisia: Distressing Debt
Date first published: 21/04/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: default risks On 10 April the International Monetary Fund approved US$745m in emergency a...
United States: The geopolitics of Federal Reserve swap lines
Date first published: 31/03/2020 The Federal Reserve prides itself on its political independence, a core tenet of how it should operate. It should mak...- Chile: Political violence in times of COVID-19
Chile: Political violence in times of COVID-19
Date first published: 07/04/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; policy continuity; looting; arson attacks; violent clashes The COVID-19 pan... - India: The economics of the lockdown
India: The economics of the lockdown
Date first published: 14/04/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: economic growth; sovereign risks; political stability On 24 March, Prime Minister Naren... - Lebanon: Broke down palace
Lebanon: Broke down palace
Key sectors: banking; all Key risks: Default; sanctions On 7 March new Prime Minister Hassan Diab announced Beirut’s intention to default on US$1.2b... - South Africa: More bad news
South Africa: More bad news
Key sectors: all Key risks: economic risks; frustration of process The bad tidings keep coming in for South Africa. Data released on 3 March showed th... - Guyana: Teetering between blessing and curse
Guyana: Teetering between blessing and curse
Key sectors: all, particularly extractives Key risks: political instability; policy uncertainty; contract frustration, civil unrest Guyana has failed ... - South Sudan: Unity government a way-stop, not the destination
South Sudan: Unity government a way-stop, not the destination
Key sectors: all Key risks: internal conflict; political stability After more than a year of political wrangling, two postponements and an eleventh-ho...
