Ones to Watch
Americas: Guyana heads into general elections amid oil boom Sectors: allKey Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; political uncertainty In Guyana, on 1 September voters will cast ballots in general elections to decide whether President Irfaan Ali’s ruling People Progressive Party (PPP) will preserve its parliamentary majority – holding 33 out of 65 seats in the […]
Americas: 19 killed, at least 71 injured in dissident former FARC rebel attacks in Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: targeted attacks; violent clashes In Colombia, on 21 August 19 people were killed and at least 71 were injured in two attacks, which President Gustavo Petro attributed to different dissident former FARC rebel factions. In Cali, […]
Americas: Centrist senator Paz leads presidential election, ending left-wing dominance in Bolivia Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; political uncertainty; governance; policy uncertainty In Bolivia, on 17 August early official results showed centrist senator Rodrigo Paz of the Christian Democratic Party leading the presidential election with 32.8 per cent. Conservative former president Jorge ‘Tuto’ Quiroga […]
Americas: Surging violence raises concerns in Ecuador after eight killed, three injured in attack Sectors: all Key Risks: gang violence; violent clashes; targeted attacks In Ecuador, on 10 August eight people were killed and three others were injured in a shooting attack by armed assailants at a nightclub in Santa Lucia, Guayas province. This came […]
Americas: Former president Bolsonaro’s supporters protest across Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political polarisation In Brazil, on 3 August former president Jair Bolsonaro’s supporters protested in several major cities against Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes and President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, demanding amnesty for those involved in the alleged January 2023 […]
Americas: ELN launches third armed strike in Colombia’s Choco department Sectors: all Key Risks: violent clashes; business disruptions In Colombia, on 25 July the National Liberation Army (ELN) guerilla group launched a two-day armed strike – its third in 2025 – in Choco department, prompting a strengthening of military operations. This came as a response […]
Americas: Second anti-gentrification protest held in Mexico Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; looting; vandalism In Mexico, on 20 July around 100 protesters marched against gentrification and the rising cost of living in Mexico City. This came after on 4 July mass protests, including looting of at least dozen stores, erupted in various working-class neighborhoods […]
Americas: Bomb attack suspends pumping on Colombia’s Cano Limo-Covenas pipeline Sectors: all; oil Key Risks: business disruptions; targeted attacks; supply chain disruption In Colombia, on 13 July the Cano Limon-Covenas Oil Pipeline – carrying 210,000 barrels of oil per day along the northern border with Venezuela – was bombed by unidentified assailants in the rural […]
Americas: Hundreds of informal miners protest, block copper routes in Peru Sectors: all; mining Key Risks: civil unrest, disruptive unrest; violent clashes; economic risks; business risks; business disruptions In Peru, on 4 July hundreds of informal miners blocked key copper routes used by major miners MMG, Glencore and Hudbay in Chumbivilcas province. The blockades are […]
Americas: Ecuador’s security forces on alert for retaliatory violence following recapture of ‘Fito’ Sectors: all Key Risks: violent clashes; gang violence; targeted attacks In Ecuador, on 26 June the Interior Ministry stated that the armed forces were on “alert” for possible retaliatory violence following the 25 June recapture of Jose Adolfo Macias, alias ‘Fito’, the […]
Americas: Panama’s government declares state of emergency in Bocas del Toro province Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; violent clashes; vandalism; looting In Panama, on 20 June the government declared a state of emergency (SoE) – suspending certain constitutional protections and banning public gatherings – in Bocas del Toro province until 25 June. […]
Americas: Nationwide protests by former president CFK supporters expected in Argentina Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political stability In Argentina, on 10 June the Supreme Court upheld two lower courts’ 2022 corruption convictions, confirming former president and opposition Justicialist Party (JP) leader Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK)’s six-year prison sentence and a lifelong ban […]
