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Ones to Watch, 8 December 2025

Americas: Five killed, 12 injured in VBIED attack in Mexico’s Michoacan state Sectors: all Key Risks: targeted attacks; gang violence In Mexico, on 6 December five people were killed – including three police officers – and 12 were injured in a VBIED attack outside a police station in Coahuayana, Michoacan state. This came after the […]

Ones to Watch, 1 December 2025

Americas: Preliminary results show Asfura leading in Honduran presidential elections Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability In Honduras, on 1 December preliminary results from 55 per cent of polling stations showed the conservative National Party’s Nasry Asfura leading with 40 per cent of the vote, ahead of the centrist Liberal Party’s Salvador Nasralla with 39.78 […]

Ones to Watch, 24 November 2025

Americas: US adds Venezuelan cartel to terror list, announces launch of new Venezuela phase Sectors: all Key Risks: regional escalation; regional conflict  In Venezuela, on 24 November the US designated the Cartel de los Soles – which it asserts is linked to President Nicolas Maduro – a terrorist organisation. The move came after on 22 […]

Ones to Watch, 17 November 2025

Americas: 120 injured in clashes at Gen Z-led protest in Mexico City Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; violent clashes In Mexico, on 15 November 120 people – including 100 police officers – were injured and 20 were arrested after protesters attacked police with fireworks, stones, sticks and chains at a Gen Z-led […]

Ones to Watch, 10 November 2025

AKE International Risk Analysis

Americas: Chile to head to polls on 16 November for presidential election Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy uncertainty In Chile, on 16 November citizens will head to polling stations to vote in the presidential election – the first since 2012 in which voting is compulsory. On 27 October a Centro de Estudios Publicos […]

Ones to Watch, 3 November 2025

Americas: Hundreds protest deadly police raid in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest In Brazil, on 31 October hundreds of civilians – including labour unions and human rights groups – protested in the Penha favela complex in Rio de Janeiro. Protesters demanded an end to “military incursions” into the favelas, the resignation […]

Ones to Watch, 27 October 2025

Americas: Five killed in shooting attack in Ecuador amid escalating violence Sectors: all Key Risks: violent clashes; targeted attacks In Ecuador, on 24 October five people were killed and one person was injured in a shooting attack at a pool hall in Santo Domingo, Santo Domingo de los Tsachila province. Officials stated armed assailants broke […]

Ones to Watch, 20 October 2025

Americas: Washington announces tariffs on Colombia, end to US aid amid escalating tensions Sectors: all Key Risks: economic risks; trade disruptions; targeted attacks; regional escalation In Colombia, on 19 October US President Donald Trump announced Washington would enact tariffs on the country – in addition to the 10 per cent already levied – and slash […]

Ones to Watch, 13 October 2025

Americas: Bolivia gears up for presidential runoff on 19 October Sectors: allKey Risks: policy uncertainty; political polarisation; governance In Bolivia, on 19 October voters will elect President Luis Arce’s successor in the run-off election, with the winner set to take office on 8 November. A recent IPSOS-Ciesmori poll showed right-wing former president Jorge ‘Tuto’ Quiroga […]

Ones to Watch, 6 October 2025

Americas: Four killed in US military strike on drug-smuggling vessel off the coast of Venezuela Sectors: allKey Risks: targeted attacks; regional escalation In Venezuela, on 3 October four people were killed in a US military strike against an alleged drug-smuggling vessel in the Caribbean sea off the country’s coast. This came after three US military […]

Ones to Watch, 29 September 2025

Americas: One protester killed, 12 soldiers injured in violent clashes in Ecuador  Sectors: allKey Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes In Ecuador, on 28 September one protester was killed and 12 soldiers were injured in violent clashes during protests against the rise of fuel prices in Cotachi, Imambura province. Officials reported the 12 soldiers were injured […]

Ones to Watch, 22 September 2025

Americas: Thousands participate in anti-government protests for second day in Peru Sectors: allKey Risks: political stability; civil unrest; disruptive unrest; violent clashes  In Peru, on 21 September thousands demonstrated in the second day of anti-government protests in the capital Lima. Violent protests – spearheaded by ‘Generation Z’ youth and various activist groups – erupted on […]

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