Ones to Watch
Americas Presidential race to heat up as Bolsonaro and Lula officially confirm their candidacies Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence; policy continuity; political instability In Brazil, the presidential race ahead of the 2 October general elections is expected to heat up, with a heightened risk of politically motivated violence. Far-right President Jair Bolsonaro officially launched […]
Americas: Protests set to continue in Panama despite deal between government and Anadepo Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; strikes; supply chain disruption In Panama, nationwide protests featuring road blockades are set to continue despite a new deal between the government and the Anadepo union, which is leading the ongoing protest movement over rising gasoline […]
Americas: Cuba’s government-led crackdown on dissent persists a year after 11J protests Sectors: all Key Risks: government-led crackdown; arbitrary arrests; summary trials; sanctions In Cuba, the government-led crackdown on dissent shows no signs of abating a year after unprecedented anti-government protests that erupted on 11 July 2021. President Miguel Diaz-Canel’s administration controversially arrested hundreds of […]
Americas: Argentina’s political, economic crises to deepen as economy minister resigns Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy continuity; governability; sovereign default In Argentina, ongoing political, economic and financial crises are set to deepen following the surprise resignation of Martin Guzman as economy minister on 2 July. Guzman’s decision risks further destabilising President Alberto Fernandez’s […]
Americas: Truckers and farmers set to strike across Peru over rising fuel, fertiliser prices Sectors: all; cargo transport Key Risks: supply chain disruption; civil unrest; strikes In Peru, truckers and farmers are set to strike across the country starting on 27 June to protest rising fuel and fertiliser prices. The disruptive measure was agreed on […]
Americas: Disruptive anti-government protests enter second week across Ecuador Sectors: all; oil sector; retail; cargo transport Key Risks: business interruption; disruptive civil unrest; vandalism; sabotage In Ecuador, disruptive anti-government protests are expected to continue across the country over the coming week. Hundreds of indigenous protesters arrived in the capital Quito on 19 June defying a […]
Americas: Petro and Hernandez to face off on Colombia’s 19 June presidential runoff Sectors: all; extractives sector Key Risks: policy uncertainty; political stability; business and economic risks In Colombia, leftist Senator and former guerrilla Gustavo Petro and businessman Rodolfo Hernandez will face off in a highly uncertain presidential runoff on 19 June. Recent polls suggest […]
Americas: US sanctions on Venezuelan oil set to ease, pressure for political dialogue to increase Sectors: all; oil sector Key Risks: sanctions; business risks In Venezuela, pressure for the resumption of talks between President Nicolas Maduro’s government and the US-backed opposition is set to increase as the US appears ready to partially ease sanctions on […]
Americas: Peru’s President Castillo to face further pressure amid fresh criminal probe Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; corruption; governability; civil unrest In Peru, leftist President Pedro Castillo is set to face growing pressure over his alleged involvement in another corruption probe which risks further affecting his plummeting popularity. On 29 May the Attorney General’s […]
Americas: Colombia’s presidential elections likely to result in June runoff, political uncertainty Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence and uncertainty; policy continuity; business and economic risks In Colombia, presidential elections scheduled for 29 May are expected to lead to a 19 June runoff between leftist frontrunner Gustavo Petro and either centre-right Federico Gutierrez or independent […]
Americas: Chile’s Constituent Assembly rejects major mining overhaul; changes still expected Sectors: mining Key Risks: regulatory uncertainty; business risks In Chile, on 14 May the Constituent Assembly (CA) in charge of drafting a new constitution rejected Article 27 – a key proposal which included provisions granting the state exclusive rights to mine lithium and other […]
Americas: Gulf Clan ends deadly armed strike, risk of violence to remain high in Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: violent crime; armed attacks; arson In Colombia, the risk of further violence will remain high despite the apparent end of a four-day ‘armed strike’ by the Gulf Clan – the country’s largest organised criminal group. Authorities […]
