Ones to Watch
Americas: Democrats perform better than expected, retain Senate in US midterm elections Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; political stability In the US, the Democrats performed better than expected in the midterm elections as they retained control of the Senate, even winning a seat in Pennsylvania previously held by Republicans. The Republicans look likely to […]
Americas: Violent power struggle between government and criminal gangs to continue in Haiti Sectors: fuel distribution; all Key Risks: violent clashes; attacks; looting; supply chain disruption In Haiti, the violent power struggle between the government and criminal gangs is set to continue. On 6 November Jimmy ‘Barbecue’ Cherizier, the leader of the G9 coalition of […]
Americas: Opposition-led strike set to continue in Bolivia’s Santa Cruz department Sectors: agriculture; farming; cargo; transport Key Risks: disruptive civil unrest; road blockades; violent clashes; export restrictions In Bolivia, protests featuring road blockades are expected to continue across Santa Cruz department as an opposition-led strike enters its second week. On 30 October local media reported […]
Americas: Brazil’s presidential runoff on track to become the most polarised in country’s history Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; regulatory uncertainty; political instability; political violence; civil unrest In Brazil, the presidential runoff scheduled for 30 October is on track to become the most polarised in the country’s history. Although former leftist president Luiz Inacio […]
Americas: Mapuche-related violence set to continue to increase in southern Argentina Sectors: all; tourism; construction; private property Key Risks: arson attacks; land occupations; disruptive, violent unrest; political violence In Argentina, indigenous Mapuche-related violence is on the upward trend. On 14 October at least two hooded, armed assailants held a watchman at gunpoint and burnt heavy […]
Americas: Colombian government and ELN guerrillas to resume formal peace talks in November Sectors: all; oil and gas; electricity Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency; targeted attacks; kidnapping In Colombia, on 4 October President Gustavo Petro’s government and the leftist ELN guerrillas announced that formal peace talks between the two parties would resume in November. Norway, Venezuela […]
Americas: Protests against persistent blackouts set to continue across Cuba Sectors: all; electricity Key Risks: civil unrest; arbitrary arrests; unrest-related disruption; government-led crackdown In Cuba, protests against persistent blackouts are expected to continue in the capital Havana and elsewhere across the island. Demonstrations – banned under the Communist Party of Cuba’s (PCC) one-party regime – […]
Americas: Brazil’s general elections likely to result in Bolsonaro-Lula face-off on 30 October Sectors: all Key Risks: policy uncertainty and continuity; political violence and instability; business risks In Brazil, general elections scheduled for 2 October are expected to lead to a face-off between former leftist president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and far-right President Jair […]
Americas: Violent protests over fuel price hikes set to continue in Haiti Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; looting; vandalism; supply chain disruption In Haiti, violent protests over recent fuel price hikes, rampant gang-related violence and other socio-economic grievances are set to continue in the capital Port-au-Prince and other major cities. On 18 September Prime […]
Americas: Concerns over unrest set to persist after constitutional vote in Chile Sectors: all; mining; electricity; banking Key Risks: political stability; policy and regulatory uncertainty; civil unrest; political violence In Chile, the risk of disruptive unrest will remain heightened after voters overwhelmingly rejected the new constitution in the 4 September public referendum. Student-led protests in […]
Americas: Argentina VP’s assassination attempt heightens political violence, unrest risks Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence; political stability; civil unrest In Argentina, the risk of politically motivated violence and unrest will remain heightened following former president and current Vice President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK) assassination attempt. On 2 September tens of thousands took to […]
Americas: Chileans to vote on whether to accept or reject the new constitution on 4 September Sectors: all; mining; electricity; banking Key Risks: policy continuity; political stability; political violence; regulatory changes; governability In Chile, a decisive constitutional referendum is scheduled to take place on 4 September. Voters will decide whether to accept or reject the […]
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