Ones to Watch
Americas: Opposition-led strike set to continue in Bolivia’s Santa Cruz department Sectors: agriculture; farming; cargo; transport Key Risks: disruptive civil unrest; road blockades; violent clashes; export restrictions In Bolivia, protests featuring road blockades are expected to continue across Santa Cruz department as an opposition-led strike enters its second week. On 30 October local media reported […]
Americas: Brazil’s presidential runoff on track to become the most polarised in country’s history Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; regulatory uncertainty; political instability; political violence; civil unrest In Brazil, the presidential runoff scheduled for 30 October is on track to become the most polarised in the country’s history. Although former leftist president Luiz Inacio […]
Americas: Mapuche-related violence set to continue to increase in southern Argentina Sectors: all; tourism; construction; private property Key Risks: arson attacks; land occupations; disruptive, violent unrest; political violence In Argentina, indigenous Mapuche-related violence is on the upward trend. On 14 October at least two hooded, armed assailants held a watchman at gunpoint and burnt heavy […]
Americas: Colombian government and ELN guerrillas to resume formal peace talks in November Sectors: all; oil and gas; electricity Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency; targeted attacks; kidnapping In Colombia, on 4 October President Gustavo Petro’s government and the leftist ELN guerrillas announced that formal peace talks between the two parties would resume in November. Norway, Venezuela […]
Americas: Protests against persistent blackouts set to continue across Cuba Sectors: all; electricity Key Risks: civil unrest; arbitrary arrests; unrest-related disruption; government-led crackdown In Cuba, protests against persistent blackouts are expected to continue in the capital Havana and elsewhere across the island. Demonstrations – banned under the Communist Party of Cuba’s (PCC) one-party regime – […]
Americas: Brazil’s general elections likely to result in Bolsonaro-Lula face-off on 30 October Sectors: all Key Risks: policy uncertainty and continuity; political violence and instability; business risks In Brazil, general elections scheduled for 2 October are expected to lead to a face-off between former leftist president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and far-right President Jair […]
Americas: Violent protests over fuel price hikes set to continue in Haiti Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; looting; vandalism; supply chain disruption In Haiti, violent protests over recent fuel price hikes, rampant gang-related violence and other socio-economic grievances are set to continue in the capital Port-au-Prince and other major cities. On 18 September Prime […]
Americas: Concerns over unrest set to persist after constitutional vote in Chile Sectors: all; mining; electricity; banking Key Risks: political stability; policy and regulatory uncertainty; civil unrest; political violence In Chile, the risk of disruptive unrest will remain heightened after voters overwhelmingly rejected the new constitution in the 4 September public referendum. Student-led protests in […]
Americas: Argentina VP’s assassination attempt heightens political violence, unrest risks Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence; political stability; civil unrest In Argentina, the risk of politically motivated violence and unrest will remain heightened following former president and current Vice President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK) assassination attempt. On 2 September tens of thousands took to […]
Americas: Chileans to vote on whether to accept or reject the new constitution on 4 September Sectors: all; mining; electricity; banking Key Risks: policy continuity; political stability; political violence; regulatory changes; governability In Chile, a decisive constitutional referendum is scheduled to take place on 4 September. Voters will decide whether to accept or reject the […]
Americas: Colombia’s government and ELN guerrilla increasingly likely to resume peace talks Sectors: all; oil and gas; electricity Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency; targeted attacks; kidnapping In Colombia, on 20 August leftist President Gustavo Petro announced the suspension of arrest warrants and extradition requests for the leftist ELN guerrilla’s negotiators amid renewed efforts to restart peace […]
Americas: Paraguay faces heightened instability as corruption allegations into top officials mount Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; corruption; sanctions In Paraguay, mounting corruption allegations against former and current top government officials risk stoking instability risks. On 12 August Vice President Hugo Velazquez announced that he would resign shortly after Washington blacklisted him for “significant […]
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