Ones to Watch
Americas: Peru’s crisis deepens as PM’s resignation triggers second cabinet reshuffle in a week Sectors: all; mining; oil Key Risks: political stability; governability; business and economic risks In Peru, on 5 February Hector Valer resigned as prime minister after only days in the post, triggering a second cabinet reshuffle in a week. Far-left President Pedro […]
Americas: Costa Rica’s general elections likely to lead to presidential runoff, divided Congress Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy uncertainty; governability; civil unrest In Costa Rica, highly uncertain general elections scheduled for 6 February are expected to lead to a 3 April presidential runoff. The presidential vote will be contested between a record number […]
Americas: Honduras’s President-elect Castro challenged by congressional split Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy uncertainty; civil unrest; political violence In Honduras, the stage has been set for heightened political and policy instability risks just days ahead of President-elect Xiomara Castro’s inauguration – scheduled for 27 January. On 23 January dissident lawmakers from Castro’s leftist […]
Americas: Controversy in Chile’s lithium sector set to continue after auction suspended Sectors: mining Key Risks: contract frustration; regulatory uncertainty In Chile, on 14 January an appeals court ordered the suspension of a lithium auction as requested by the governor of Atacama region and by local indigenous communities. The ruling came just two days after […]
Americas: Brazil’s Petrobras set to finalise Braskem stake sale in February, delays still possible Sectors: oil and gas; petrochemicals Key Risks: business risks; asset sale delays In Brazil, on 7 January state-owned oil company Petrobras announced plans to complete the sale of its 36.1 per cent stake in petrochemical firm Braskem in February, although further […]
Americas: Prime Minister’s assassination attempt highlights Haiti’s deepening instability risks Sectors: all; cargo transport; retail; overland travel Key Risks: political instability; targeted attacks; gang-related violence; disruptive unrest In Haiti, political instability and rampant gang-related violence will remain extremely high risks in 2022, as demonstrated by the assassination attempt on Prime Minister Ariel Henry on 1 […]
Americas: Barbados Prime Minister Mottley aims to secure re-election in January snap vote Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy continuity; civil unrest In Barbados, Prime Minister Mia Mottley of the Barbados Labor Party (BLP) is aiming to secure re-election in a snap vote to strengthen her mandate only weeks after the former British colony […]
Americas: Tensions risk escalating as 13 killed over land disputes in southern Guatemala Sectors: land ownership; transport; overland travel Key Risks: violent clashes; disruptive unrest In Guatemala, tensions risk increasing after 13 people were killed during violent clashes over land disputes in Chiquix village, Nahuala municipality, Solola department between 17 and 18 December. The police […]
Americas: Far-right and far-left to face off on 19 December presidential runoff Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy uncertainty; governability; civil unrest In Chile, far-right former congressman Jose Antonio Kast and far-left lawyer Gabriel Boric will face off in a highly polarised presidential runoff on 19 December. Recent polls suggest that Boric maintains a […]
Americas: Opposition against Venezuela’s Maduro set to further weaken Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; economic risks; civil unrest In Venezuela, on 5 December Foreign Minister of the US-backed interim government Julio Borges announced his resignation in another blow to President Nicolas Maduro’s opposition, signalling growing divisions within the latter. Borges, exiled in Colombia, stated […]
Americas: Peru’s extractives facing heightened disruption, operational uncertainty risks Sectors: mining; oil and gas Key Risks: civil unrest; operational disruption; regulatory uncertainty In Peru, leftist President Pedro Castillo’s government will continue to face mounting pressure from companies operating in the extractive industries sector and from local protesters opposing their activities. On 25 November local communities warned that […]
Americas: Honduras’s opposition to challenge ruling PNH’s re-election in highly contested vote Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy uncertainty; civil unrest; political violence In Honduras, Xiomara Castro from the main leftist opposition Libre party will face Tegucigalpa mayor Nasry Asfura from the ruling centre-right National Party (PNH) and 12 other presidential hopefuls in the […]
