Ones to Watch
Americas: Further protests demanding President Giammattei step down expected in Guatemala Sectors: all Key Risks: unrest-related violence and disruption; political instability In Guatemala, escalating anti-government sentiment is expected to fuel further unrest at least over the coming days. On 31 July protests demanding President Alejandro Giammattei’s and Attorney General Consuelo Porras’s resignation were reported for […]
Americas: Far-left Pedro Castillo to take office on 28 July amid high instability risks Sectors: all; mining, oil Key Risks: policy uncertainty; political stability; business risks; FoP In Peru, on 28 July far-left Pedro Castillo will be sworn in as the country’s first hard left president in recent history amid heightened governability and political instability […]
Americas: Moderate candidates win Chile’s presidential primaries ahead of November’s vote Sectors: all Key Risks: policy uncertainty; political instability; protests In Chile, on 18 July former cabinet minister Sebastian Sichel of the ruling centre-right Chile Vamos coalition and lawyer Gabriel Boric from the leftist Apruebo Dignidad coalition surprisingly won the presidential primaries ahead of the […]
Americas: Protests and associated violent repression to persist across Cuba Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; unrest-related violence; government-led crackdown, arbitrary arrests In Cuba, unprecedented nationwide anti-government demonstrations and associated violent repression are expected to persist over the coming days. Protests, which are banned under the Communist Party of Cuba’s (PCC) one party regime, started […]
Americas: Oil majors reportedly mulling to launch offshore oil exploration in Colombia by 2022 Sectors: oil and gas Key Risks: business and economic risks; unrest-related violence In Colombia, the government aims to accelerate offshore oil exploration and development to reverse a recent plunge in output from traditional onshore fields. On 29 June Energy Minister Diego […]
Americas: Chile’s Constituent Assembly to start drafting new constitution on 4 July Sectors: all Key Risks: policy uncertainty; political instability; protests; political violence In Chile, the Constituent Assembly (CA) tasked with drafting a new constitution is scheduled to hold its first session on 4 July. The CA, whose 155 members were elected in mid-May, will […]
Ones to Watch Americas: Protests against Bolsonaro’s COVID-19 response expected to persist across Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political stability; policy-making In Brazil, protests against President Jair Bolsonaro’s handling of the COVID-19 pandemic are expected to continue to regularly occur. On 19 June thousands took to the streets in Brasilia, Rio de Janeiro, […]
Americas: Pedro Castillo expected to win Peru’s presidential runoff, pending results Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; governability; economic risks; policy continuity; civil unrest In Peru, far-left presidential frontrunner Pedro Castillo is expected to be declared the winner of the 6 June presidential runoff in the coming days. His conservative opponent, Keiko Fujimori, has so […]
Americas: Crackdown on Nicaraguan opposition to further intensify ahead of November vote Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; arbitrary detentions; crackdown on political opposition; civil unrest In Nicaragua, an ongoing government-led crackdown on the opposition is set to continue to intensify ahead of the 7 November general elections. On 5 June opposition presidential hopeful Arturo […]
Americas: Highly contested presidential runoff in Peru; crucial midterm elections in Mexico Sectors: all Key Risks: governability; economic risks; policy continuity; election-related violence Peru’s highly contested presidential runoff and Mexico’s crucial midterm legislative and local elections are scheduled to take place on 6 June. Recent polls indicate that Peru’s far-left presidential candidate Pedro Castillo – […]
Americas: Conservative Guillermo Lasso takes office in Ecuador Sectors: all Key Risks: governability; economic risks; policy continuity; civil In Ecuador, conservative Guillermo Lasso of the centre-right CREO party is scheduled to take office as the country’s president on 24 May after securing a surprise win in April’s presidential runoff against leftist candidate Andres Arauz. Lasso, […]
Americas: Venezuela’s Maduro and Guaido mull fresh talks; meaningful results to remain elusive Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; economic risks; sanctions; protests In Venezuela, efforts to re-launch negotiations between President Nicolas Maduro and the opposition will continue to face significant challenges. On 11 May opposition leader Juan Guaido – recognised by the US and […]
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