Ones to Watch, 17 March 2025

Americas: Thousands demonstrate in support of former president Bolsonaro in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; political polarisation In Brazil, on 16 March thousands demonstrated in support of former far-right president Jair Bolsonaro in Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro state. Protesters demanded that Congress grant amnesty to hundreds of Bolsonaro supporters […]
Ones to Watch, 10 March 2025

Americas: Rice farmers launch nationwide blockades in Colombia Sectors: all; agricultural Key Risks: business disruptions; trade disruptions; supply chain disruptions; cargo transport In Colombia, on 3 March rice farmers initiated an indefinite nationwide campaign of road blockades in demand for fair prices – currently at COP180,000 (US$44) – for their harvests. The producers requested that […]
Ones to Watch, 3 March 2025

Americas: ELN armed attacks against security forces likely to escalate in northeast Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: violent clashes; targeted attacks; terrorism In Colombia, on 20 February the mayor of Cucuta, Norte de Santander department, imposed a 48-hour curfew – starting 19:00 local time – after the National Liberation Army (ELN) guerrilla group attacked police […]
Ones to Watch, 24 February 2025

Americas: Protests erupt against Tia Maria copper mine project in Peru Sectors: all; mining; transportation Key Risks: supply chain disruptions; business disruptions; civil unrest; violent clashes; In Peru, on 17 February residents of the Valle del Tambo in Islay province, Arequipa region, launched protests against the Southern Cooper Corporation’s US$41.8bln Tia Maria copper mine project. […]
Ones to Watch, 17 February 2025

Americas: Protests against pension reform likely to intensify in Panama in coming weeks Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; business disruptions; vandalism In Panama, on 12 February a protest against the proposed pension reform bill by the National Construction Workers’ Union (SUNTRACS) led to violent confrontations with the riot police in the capital […]
Ones to Watch, 10 February 2025

Americas: Private sector set to strike on 10 February in Bolivia Sectors: all Key Risks: economic risks; business disruptions; supply chain disruptions In Bolivia, on 10 February business unions and export associations are set to stage a nationwide 24-hour strike to protest President Luis Arce’s government’s refusal to repeal Article 7 of the 2025 General […]
Ones to Watch, 3 February 2025

Americas: Ecuador gears up for high-stakes presidential and legislative elections on 9 February Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence In Ecuador, on 9 February voters will head to the polls for legislative and presidential elections. While voters will have a choice of 16 presidential hopefuls, the voter intention polls suggest the presidential election will be […]
Ones to Watch, 27 January 2025

Americas: The ELN guerilla pledges to continue the “war of liberation” in Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: violent clashes; regional conflict In Colombia, on 24 January the ELN announced it would continue its “war of liberation” in Catatumbo region, Norte de Santander department, claiming that the dozens of captured members from the 33rd Front of […]
Ones to Watch, 20 January 2025

Americas: Heightened civil unrest risks ahead of protesters’ deadline for government in Bolivia Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest In Bolivia, on 16 January supporters of former president Evo Morales suspended protests in the capital La Paz after delivering a letter to President Luis Arce, demanding action on the economic crisis and an end to […]
Ones to Watch, 13 January 2025

Americas: Mayor killed amid rising political violence ahead of 5 February elections in Ecuador Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence; political instability; gang-related violence In Ecuador, on 11 January the Mayor of Arenillas, Eber Ponce, was shot five times by a gunman on a motorbike while driving his pickup truck in El Oro province. He […]
Ones to Watch, 6 January 2025

Americas: Opposition leader Machado calls for nationwide anti-government protests in Venezuela Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; traffic disruption In Venezuela, on 5 January opposition leader Maria Corina Machado urged supporters to demonstrate nationwide on 9 January to oust President Nicolas Maduro ahead of his 10 January inauguration for a third term. This came hours […]
Ones to Watch, 30 December 2024

Americas: Indigenous protests against maximum security prison likely to continue in Ecuador Sectors: all; cargo; mining Key Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; traffic disruption In Ecuador, on 16 December President Daniel Noboa’s government announced a suspension of the construction of a maximum-security prison in Archidona, Napo province. The announcement came in response to protests by […]