Ones to Watch
Americas: Fallout from Brumadinho dam collapse to continue to hit Brazil’s Vale Sectors: mining; metals Key Risks: fines; lawsuits; credit rating downgrade; arrests In Brazil, mining giant Vale will continue to face severe fallout from the 25 January tailings dam burst at its Corrego do Feijao mine in Brumadinho, Minas Gerais. The dam’s collapse killed […]
Americas: Further anti-government unrest expected in Venezuela as pressure on Maduro mounts Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; violent crackdown on dissent In Venezuela, opposition National Assembly President Juan Guaido called for anti-government demonstrations on 30 January and 2 February amid growing pressure for President Nicolas Maduro to call snap elections. Nationwide protests […]
Americas: Tensions increase following ELN car bomb attack in Colombia’s capital Sectors: oil and gas; electricity; security-force/government personnel and assets Key Risks: terrorism; targeted attacks; insurgency; kidnapping In Colombia, further National Liberation Army (ELN) activity can be expected amid rising tensions between the leftist guerrilla group and President Ivan Duque’s government following the 17 January […]
Americas: Disruptive shortages amid crackdown on fuel theft to continue across Mexico Sectors: all Key Risks: fuel shortages; disruptive unrest; fuel theft In Mexico, disruptive fuel shortages are expected to continue across the country as the government of President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) cracks down on fuel theft with a strategy that has forced […]
Americas: Venezuela’s Maduro to take office for second term amid growing tensions Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; crackdown on dissent In Venezuela, President Nicolas Maduro is scheduled to take office for a second six-year term on 10 January amid increasing regional pressure for him to refrain from doing so and amid growing […]
Americas: Bolsonaro to be inaugurated on 1 January 2019 Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; business disruption Brazil’s far-right president-elect Jair Bolsonaro will take office on 1 January amid continuous controversy surrounding his forthcoming administration. Bolsonaro’s policies include promises save the country’s crumbling economy, expand activity in protected Amazon reserves, drain the country’s political wetland in […]
Americas: US besotted with political turmoil driven by Trump, Chile protests likey Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; business disruption Following the US government shutdown on 22 December prompted by President Donald Trump’s decision not to approve any budget bill that does not include at least US$5bln in spending for his desired ‘border wall,’ disruption should be expected. […]
Americas: Government crackdown on dissent continues to intensify in Nicaragua Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; business disruption In Nicaragua, the government will likely continue to intensify the ongoing crackdown on dissent. On 13 December Congress stripped five NGOs critical of President Daniel Ortega of their legal status, meaning they can no longer […]
Americas: Voters in Peru support anti-corruption reforms in referendum Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest Exit polls from the 9 December referendum show strong support for President Martin Vizcarra’s political and judicial reforms to target corruption and reshape the political system in Peru. Voters approved three out of four reforms, first announced in […]
Americas: Haiti faces fresh wave of violent anti-government protests Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political instability; business disruption In Haiti, waves of nationwide violent anti-government protests are expected to continue. At least 17 people have been killed since 18 November, when clashes intensified as demonstrators blocked streets with burning tyres in the capital Port-au-Prince and […]
Americas: Leftist AMLO to take office in Mexico on 1 December Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; political instability; currency volatility In Mexico, leftist president-elect Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) will take office on 1 December amid persistent uncertainty over his future policies. AMLO’s security strategy includes creating a 50,000-strong National Guard as part of […]
Americas: Austerity 2019 budget approved in Argentina; risk of unrest, attacks ahead of G20 Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; terrorism; governability In Argentina, the Senate approved the 2019 austerity budget by 45 to 24 votes on 15 November in a political victory for President Mauricio Macri’s government. The approval came three days after S&P […]
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