Ones to Watch
Americas: Thousands of Argentinians commemorate coup as President Milei downplays past Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest In Argentina, on 24 March, thousands marched nationwide to commemorate the 48th anniversary of the 1976 military coup that lasted until 1983 and led to widespread repression, kidnap, murder and torture of over 30,000 people. Protesters denounced far-right […]
Americas: Hundreds participate in anti-government protests amid Cuba’s economic crisis Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest In Cuba, on 17 March, hundreds participated in rare anti-government protests in Santiago, Santiago de Cuba province, and Bayamo, Granma province, amid prolonged blackouts and shortages of basic supplies, including fuel, food and medicine. The government reportedly cut off […]
Americas: Venezuelan government arrests opposition leader Machado’s close ally Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; sanctions In Venezuela, on 9 March Attorney General Tarek Saab announced the arrest of Emill Brandt Ulloa – the regional campaign leader for opposition candidate Maria Corina Machado – over an alleged conspiracy against President Nicolas Maduro’s government by participating […]
Americas: Heightened political violence risks ahead of 2 June general elections in Mexico Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence In Mexico, on 26 and 27 February, two mayoral candidates were killed in separate shooting attacks in Maravatio, Michoacan state. One of the victims was from the conservative National Action Party (PAN) and the other was […]
Americas: Haiti’s PM Henry rallies support for UN-backed multinational force deployment Sectors: all Key Risks: gang-related violence; organised crime; violent crime In Haiti, on 14 February Prime Minister Ariel Henry’s government announced that its officials met with Kenyan counterparts to draft a memorandum of understanding (MoU) and set a deadline for the deployment of a […]
Americas: Brazil’s Bolsonaro calls for 25 February demonstration amid coup plot accusations Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest In Brazil, on 25 February supporters of far-right former president Jair Bolsonaro are set to attend a “peaceful event” in Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo state. The demonstration was called for by Bolsonaro on 13 February to rally […]
Americas: Risk of arbitration proceedings in Mexico as AMLO’s administration expropriates plant Sectors: all; oil and gas Key Risks: frustration of process; CEND; international arbitration; business risks In Mexico, on 9 February President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO)’s administration ordered the expropriation of a hydrogen plant – run by French company Air Liquide since 2017 […]
Americas: Widespread disruptive protests by Morales’s supporters set to continue in Bolivia Sectors: all; cargo transport Key Risks: civil unrest; political violence; violent clashes; business interruption In Bolivia, on 1 February at least 14 police officers were injured in clashes with former president Evo Morales’s supporters in Caracollo, Oruro department. Security forces fired tear gas […]
Americas: El Salvador’s Bukele set to secure controversial second term in 4 February election Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy continuity; democratic backsliding In El Salvador, on 4 February voters will head to the polls to elect the next president and all 60 deputies of the Legislative Assembly. A 16 January poll showed President […]
Americas: Disruption expected during 12-hour general strike on 24 January in Argentina Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; business interruption; economic In Argentina, on 24 January a general strike – called by the powerful General Confederation of Labour (CGT) on 28 December 2023 – is set to take place to protest far-right President Javier Milei’s […]
Americas: Chile’s SQM suspends lithium mining operations due to protests in Antofagasta region Sectors: mining Key Risks: civil unrest; business interruption In Chile, on 13 January SQM – the world’s second-largest lithium producer – stated that it had suspended operations at the Atacama salt flat, Antofagasta region, due to road blockades by local indigenous protesters. […]
Americas: Arevalo to take office on 14 January despite obstruction attempts in Guatemala Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; sanctions In Guatemala, on 14 January President-elect Bernardo Arevalo is set to take office, having faced numerous challenges by the Attorney General’s Office to prevent his accession and to ban his Seed Movement party. On 8 […]
