Insights
Date first published: 30/09/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; civil unrest Risk development On 28 September the pro-European Party of Action of Solidarity (PAS) of President Maia Sandu won the parliamentary elections, securing a comfortable majority of 55 seats in the 101-seat parliament. The pro-Russian Patriotic Bloc (BEP) came second with 24.2 per […]
Americas: One protester killed, 12 soldiers injured in violent clashes in Ecuador Sectors: allKey Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes In Ecuador, on 28 September one protester was killed and 12 soldiers were injured in violent clashes during protests against the rise of fuel prices in Cotachi, Imambura province. Officials reported the 12 soldiers were injured […]
Date first published: 18/09/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: armed conflict; regional conflict; organised crime Risk development On 15 September US President Donald Trump reported that three “confirmed narcoterrorists” were killed in a US military strike on a boat allegedly carrying drugs from Venezuela in the Caribbean Sea. This followed a similar US military strike […]
Americas: Thousands participate in anti-government protests for second day in Peru Sectors: allKey Risks: political stability; civil unrest; disruptive unrest; violent clashes In Peru, on 21 September thousands demonstrated in the second day of anti-government protests in the capital Lima. Violent protests – spearheaded by ‘Generation Z’ youth and various activist groups – erupted on […]
Date first published: 16/09/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; political violence; violent clashes; Risk development On 8 September ‘Gen Z’ student-led protests mobilised tens of thousands of people countrywide, triggered by a ban on social media activity – widely seen as authoritarian overreach. Protesters repeatedly clashed with security forces and police opened […]
Americas: Contractors protest outside state oil firm Pemex’s facilities in Mexico Sectors: oil and gasKey Risks: business risks; business disruptions; industrial action In Mexico, on 9 September dozens of contractors from Veracruz and Oaxaca states – including suppliers and local construction companies – protested outside state-owned oil company Pemex’s facilities in the capital Mexico City, […]
Date first published: 09/09/2025 Key sectors: oil & gas Key risks: armed conflict Risk development On 31 August the Sudanese Ministry of Energy and Petroleum announced an emergency shutdown of oil production in the Heglig oilfields, citing drone attacks conducted by paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) on 26 and 30 August near the production facilities. […]
Americas: Venezuelan government boosts troops amid rising tensions with Washington Sectors: allKey Risks: regional escalation; gang violence; government instability In Venezuela, on 7 September President Nicolas Maduro’s government ordered additional troops to tackle drug trafficking in coastal states – including the Guajira region of Zulia state and the Paraguana peninsula in Falcon state – as […]
Date first published: 28/08/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; political violence; political polarization; arbitrary arrests; governance; civil unrest Risk development On 14 August Aydin Metropolitan Mayor Ozlem Cercioglu and three district mayors officially joined President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP), citing internal divisions within the Republican People’s Party (CHP). […]
Americas: Guyana heads into general elections amid oil boom Sectors: allKey Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; political uncertainty In Guyana, on 1 September voters will cast ballots in general elections to decide whether President Irfaan Ali’s ruling People Progressive Party (PPP) will preserve its parliamentary majority – holding 33 out of 65 seats in the […]
Date first published: 26/08/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; governance; policy uncertainty; economic Risk development On 17 August centrist senator Rodrigo Paz of the Christian Democratic Party (PDC) led the presidential election with 32.18 per cent, followed by conservative former president Jorge ‘Tuto’ Quiroga of the Alianza coalition with 26.94 per cent. The […]
Americas: 19 killed, at least 71 injured in dissident former FARC rebel attacks in Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: targeted attacks; violent clashes In Colombia, on 21 August 19 people were killed and at least 71 were injured in two attacks, which President Gustavo Petro attributed to different dissident former FARC rebel factions. In Cali, […]