Ones to Watch, 18 June 2018

Americas: Dialogue to ease tensions to remain at risk in Nicaragua Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy continuity; violent unrest In Nicaragua, the government and opposition representatives resumed a Catholic Church-mediated dialogue on 15 June to try to end a crisis in which at least 178 people have been killed since 18 April....

The 12 June US – North Korea Summit is all about China

Date first published: 07/06/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: sanctions; war; nuclear On 12 June the on-again, off-again historic summit between US President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un will take place in Singapore, on the island resort of Sentosa. Talks will focus on North Korea’s nuclear disarmament, but there are already disagreements on the...

Ones to Watch: 11 June 2018

Americas: Right-wing Duque increasingly likely to win Colombia’s 17 June presidential runoff Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence; policy continuity In Colombia, a presidential runoff is scheduled to take place on 17 June. Right-wing Democratic Centre (DC) party candidate Ivan Duque leads in the last poll released before the upcoming vote. According to the...

Malaysia: Mahathir’s unlikely comeback

Date first published: 22/05/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability The stunning election victory of 92-year old Mahathir Mohamad and his then-opposition Pakatan Harapan (PH) coalition on 9 May marked a historic turning point for Malaysia as PH secured an outright majority in Parliament. Equally as impressive is the fact that the country’s first...

Ones to Watch, 21 May 2018

Americas: Colombia to hold presidential election on 27 May Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence; policy continuity In Colombia, presidential elections are scheduled to take place on 27 May. According to the last polls to be published before the vote, centre-right Democratic Centre party candidate Ivan Duque remains the frontrunner. According to Invamer, Duque...