Ones to Watch, 5 March 2018

Americas: Targeted violence continues to affect Colombia’s electoral cycle Sectors: all Key Risks: targeted attacks; terrorism; political polarisation In Colombia, targeted political violence is expected to continue to affect the electoral race towards the 11 March legislative elections and the 27 May presidential election. On 2 March leftist presidential candidate Gustavo Petro’s convoy was...

Ones to Watch, 26 February 2018

Americas: Macri to inaugurate Congress’ session; union-led unrest likely Sectors: all Key Risks: union-led unrest; delays to reform agenda; policy continuity In Argentina, President Mauricio Macri is set to inaugurate the 136th ordinary session of Congress on 1 March with a speech that will come a little over a week after a massive demonstration...

Maldives: Sinking literally and politically

Date first published: 13/02/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; debt repayments; geopolitical rivalry The Maldives’ President Abdulla Yameen has sought to crush political opposition over the course of his five years in power, either by having opponents locked up or forced into exile. Having become accustomed to obeisance, he and much of the international community...

Ones to Watch, 19 February 2018

Americas: Brazil’s Congress to discuss government-backed pension reform Sectors: all Key Risks: policy uncertainty; delays to fiscal reform agenda In Brazil, Congress is scheduled to vote on President Michel Temer’s pension reform, a long-awaited fiscal austerity measure seen as crucial to shore up the budget. Discussions are scheduled to begin on 19 February although...