Insights
Americas: Bolivia’s general election rerun to be held on 3 May Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy continuity; violent unrest In Bolivia, the Supreme Electoral Court (TSE) has set 3 May as the date for a presidential and parliamentary election rerun. Former president Evo Morales’s left-wing Movement for Socialism (MAS) party will reportedly announce […]
Americas: Venezuela’s Maduro asks Brazil to hand over five suspects for raid against military post Sectors: all Key Risks: bilateral and diplomatic tensions In Venezuela, President Nicolas Maduro’s government asked Brazil to hand over five military ‘deserters’ who are suspected of participating in a raid targeting a military outpost in Bolivar state, which left one soldier dead on 22 […]
Americas: Oil production launched at Stabroek block’s Liza field offshore Guyana Sectors: oil & gas Key Risks: business; economic risks In Guyana, oil giant ExxonMobil announced on 20 December it began crude production ahead of schedule from offshore Liza field, marking the country’s entry into the ranks of global oil producers. The Exxon-led consortium, including Hess Corp and China’s […]
Americas: IMF to unlock funds as revised tax reform approved in Ecuador Sectors: all Key Risks: non-payment; policy continuity; governability In Ecuador, the IMF’s Executive Board is expected to give its final approval on the combined second and third reviews of its US$4.2bln three-year Extended Fund Facility (EFF) on 19 December, which would unlock around […]
Americas: Argentina’s president-elect Alberto Fernandez to take office; policy shifts expected Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy continuity; governability In Argentina, president-elect Alberto Fernandez will take office on 10 December for his first four-year term. A leftist Peronist, Fernandez unveiled his cabinet on 6 December, indicating that Martin Guzman, a 37-years old Columbia University […]
Americas: Uruguay’s centre-right Lacalle Pou likely winner of presidential runoff Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; governability In Uruguay, preliminary results of the 24 November presidential runoff vote showed conservative lawyer Luis Lacalle Pou of the centre-right National Party ahead of Daniel Martinez of the ruling Broad Front coalition. With 99.41 per cent of the ballots counted, Lacalle Pou had […]
Americas: Protest-related disruption expected ahead of Colombia’s 21 November national strike Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; business disruption; political violence In Colombia, a national general strike scheduled for 21 November is expected to cause travel disruption and could lead to potentially violent unrest amid heightened security force presence. The strike was initially organised by […]
Americas: President Evo Morales steps down; instability risks mount in Bolivia Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy continuity; civil unrest; political violence In Bolivia, instability risks will remain heightened at least until new elections are scheduled following Evo Morales’s decision to step down from the presidency on 10 November. Hours prior to the announcement the Organization of American […]
Americas: Brazil’s government expects to raise up to US$26bln from upcoming ToR oil auction Sectors: oil & gas Key Risks: business risks In Brazil, the government expects to raise around US$26bln in signing bonuses from the so-called “Transfer of Rights” (ToR) massive oil auction scheduled for 6 and 7 November. The bidders who win the […]
Americas: Peronist Alberto Fernandez wins Argentina’s presidency; political risks rise Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; capital controls; non-payment; policy uncertainty In Argentina, political and economic risks are expected to rise following the outright victory of opposition Peronist presidential candidate Alberto Fernandez in 27 October’s general elections. Fernandez won 48.10 per cent of the vote […]
Americas: Violent unrest and associated disruption expected to continue in Chile Sectors: all Key Risks: violent unrest; vandalism; looting; business disruption; policy continuity In Chile, further violent unrest should be expected as protests against metro fare hikes violently escalated even after a state of emergency and a night-time curfew were imposed in Santiago and other […]
Americas: Bolivia’s President Morales runs for controversial re-election on 20 October Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; election-related violence In Bolivia, leftist President Evo Morales will seek to extend his 13-year long presidency by running for a controversial fourth term on 20 October. Frontrunner Morales and his nearest challenger, former president Carlos Mesa from the […]