Who is Ksenia Sobchak, presidential candidate?

Date first published: 24/10/2017 Key sectors: none Key risks: none Ksenia Sobchak is a distraction. Her presidential candidacy poses no risks to the Russian elite, of which she is a member as the daughter of President Vladimir Putin’s mentor, Anatoly Sobchak. She has no policies regarding Russia’s energy industry, the dominant sector of the economy. Sobchak has...

Ones to Watch, 30 October 2017

Americas: Colombia’s nationwide civic strike to continue to intensify Sectors: oil; cargo transport Key Risks: disruptive blockades; violent unrest; targeted violence   In Colombia, a nationwide indefinite strike launched on 23 October by rural workers and social organisations to demand the government fulfil the peace agreement with the FARC is set to continue to...

The challenge agreeing on Basel IV

Date first published: 17/10/2017 Key sectors:finance Key risks:regulation; financial crisis; credit risk As memories of the 2008 global financial crisis fade, the risk increases that governments, regulators and banks relax their standards. In the aftermath of the crisis, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision agreed upon the Third Basel Accord (Basel III). With the support of...

Kenya: The show must go on

Date first published: 12/10/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; democratic backsliding; weakened economic growth Kenya’s electoral and political crisis shows no signs of abating, with the Supreme Court’s decision on 1 September to rerun the presidential election result continuing to test the country’s commitment to enshrining democratic norms, values and institutions. In three major developments...

Ones to Watch, 16 October 2017

Americas: Macri’s government poised to pass its first electoral test Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy continuity In Argentina, midterm legislative elections will take place on 22 October, with the ruling Cambiemos alliance likely to secure a positive result and strengthen its position in Congress. A successful election will not mean achieving a...