Presidential election highlights the potential future risks

Date first published: 09/01/2018 Key sectors:all Key risks:civil unrest; political instability The nationwide protests, which began on 28 December in the second-largest and influential city of Mashhad in the north-east have subsided. However, the impact of the protests will continue to reverberate through Iranian society and politics for some time to come. They were the...

Poor prospects for prolonged partnership

Date first published: 04/01/2018 Key sectors: oil Key risks: price stability Riyadh’s and Moscow’s oil alliance is over a year old and is scheduled to last until the end of 2018. Notably, the OPEC-Russia deal will be reviewed at the 22 June OPEC meeting. Saudi Arabia and Moscow have courted one another openly in recent years, although...

Ones to Watch, 8 January 2018

Americas: Government and ELN to discuss bilateral ceasefire extension Sectors: all Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency In Colombia, the government and the ELN guerrillas have recently stated in separate announcements that they stand ready to potentially renew the bilateral ceasefire agreement in place since 1 October 2017 which comes to an end on 9 January....

Argentina: A few but noisy political violence concerns

Date first published: 28/12/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; commercial damage; land occupations; terrorism Political violence in 2017 was marked by localised violent unrest against centre-right President Mauricio Macri’s reforms and by the development of an apparently more organised indigenous Mapuche movement. Neither of these developments are entirely new to Argentina but both, particularly in...