AKE Ones to Watch, 27 November 2017

Americas: Uncertainty to persist amid controversial presidential election in Honduras Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; governability; political stability; social unrest In Honduras, the controversial presidential election held on 26 November is likely to keep uncertainty levels high at least over the coming weeks. With 57 per cent of the ballots counted, opposition centre-left...

Saudi Arabia: Crown prince’s power push raises political risks

Date first published: 14/11/2017 Key sectors:SOEs; energy; utilities; industrial; defence Key risks:contract frustration; political instability The arrests began late on 4 November: princes, well-known businessmen, and influential serving and former civilian ministers. By the early hours of 5 November, some of the country’s most prominent men were reportedly under guard at the Ritz-Carlton in Riyadh....

Ones to Watch, 20 November 2017

Americas: Chile headed to presidential runoff Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; governability In Chile, centre-right former president Sebastian Pinera (2010–2014) will face centre-left Senator Alejandro Guillier, who is supported by most of ruling centre-left Nueva Mayoria coalition parties, in a 17 December presidential runoff. Pinera is likely to win. The 19 November first...

Colombia: ELN peace process moves forward

Date first published: 07/11/2017 Key sectors: oil and gas; electricity; transportation Key risks: insurgency; terrorism; targeted violence; disruptive unrest On 1 October the government and the left-wing National Liberation Army (ELN) guerrillas began a temporary bilateral ceasefire, the first in over 50 years of armed conflict. One month on, the agreement stands despite at least one...