Ecuador: Lenin Moreno’s turn?

Date first published: 25/05/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: policy continuity; political stability; governability; corruption fallout ‘I am a president for all. I owe everyone. I respect everyone’. Left-wing Lenin Moreno’s statement after being sworn in as Ecuador’s President on 24 May is indicative of the conciliatory approach he is expected to imprint in Ecuadorean politics...

Côte d’Ivoire: After the mutiny

Date: 18/05/2017 Key sectors: cocoa Key risks: military mutiny; budget deficit; muted economic growth On Friday 12 May, soldiers fired shots into the air and blocked roads in major cities, undermining President Alassane Ouattara’s announcement that the government had reached a compromise with them over unpaid bonuses. Schools, embassies and banks were closed during the days...

AKE Ones to Watch: 22 May 2017

Americas: embattled President Temer fights for survival Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; corruption fallout In Brazil, President Michel Temer appears determined to fight for his political survival after fresh bribery allegations made public on 17 May put his presidency at the verge of collapse. Since then, several impeachment requests have been...

Moon’s rise turns tide against chaebol

Date first published: 09/05/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: reform; political gridlock On 9 May liberal candidate Moon Jae-in emerged victor in South Korea’s presidential election with 41 per cent of the vote – the highest margin of victory in any South Korean presidential election. Moon lost by around a million votes to Park Geun-hye back in 2012, but...

Eastern Caribbean: A successful monetary union?

Date first published: 02/05/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: slow growth; sovereign default There is a story, perhaps apocryphal, that before the establishment of the European Monetary Union (EMU), representatives from the European Central Bank travelled to Basseterre, the capital of St Kitts and Nevis. The trip to the tropical capital was to help them...