Ones to Watch, 25 November 2019

Americas: Uruguay’s centre-right Lacalle Pou likely winner of presidential runoff Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; governability In Uruguay, preliminary results of the 24 November presidential runoff vote showed conservative lawyer Luis Lacalle Pou of the centre-right National Party ahead of Daniel Martinez of the ruling Broad Front coalition. With 99.41 per cent of the ballots counted, Lacalle Pou...

Ones to Watch, 18 November 2019

Americas: Protest-related disruption expected ahead of Colombia’s 21 November national strike Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; business disruption; political violence In Colombia, a national general strike scheduled for 21 November is expected to cause travel disruption and could lead to potentially violent unrest amid heightened security force presence. The strike was initially organised...

Ones to Watch, 11 November 2019

Americas: President Evo Morales steps down; instability risks mount in Bolivia Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy continuity; civil unrest; political violence In Bolivia, instability risks will remain heightened at least until new elections are scheduled following Evo Morales’s decision to step down from the presidency on 10 November. Hours prior to the announcement the Organization of...

Ones to Watch, 4 November 2019

Americas: Brazil’s government expects to raise up to US$26bln from upcoming ToR oil auction Sectors: oil & gas Key Risks: business risks In Brazil, the government expects to raise around US$26bln in signing bonuses from the so-called “Transfer of Rights” (ToR) massive oil auction scheduled for 6 and 7 November. The bidders who win...

Ones to Watch, 28 October 2019

Americas: Peronist Alberto Fernandez wins Argentina’s presidency; political risks rise Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; capital controls; non-payment; policy uncertainty In Argentina, political and economic risks are expected to rise following the outright victory of opposition Peronist presidential candidate Alberto Fernandez in 27 October’s general elections. Fernandez won 48.10 per cent of the...