Americas: Cristina Kirchner shocks Argentina’s electoral landscape with vice-presidential bid Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; electoral uncertainty In Argentina, the government and the opposition Alternativa Federal (Federal Alternative) Peronist coalition are expected to react to former president Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner surprise move to run for the vice-presidency in the upcoming 27 October general […]
Americas: Pemex to build Mexico’s Dos Bocas refinery, private sector’s role remains uncertain Sectors: oil & gas Key Risks: economic and business risks; investment climate In Mexico, concerns over the role of the private sector in the oil and gas industry under leftist President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) continue. On 9 May AMLO announced […]
Americas: First lawsuits hit Cuba after US Helms Burton Act Title III took effect on 2 May Sectors: all Key Risks: business disruption; lawsuits; confiscation; diplomatic fallout In Cuba, bilateral tensions with the US are expected to further increase after the controversial activation of Title III of the 1996 Helms Burton Act on 2 May. […]
Americas: Panama’s upcoming general elections unlikely to significantly alter main policies Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; corruption; economic and business risks In Panama, general elections to choose a new president, all 71 members of Congress and 81 mayors will take place on 5 May. The presidential candidates from the three main parties are expected […]
Americas: Measures to control inflation and reduce budget deficit continue in Argentina Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; economic and business risks In Argentina, the centre-right Mauricio Macri administration continues its commitment to control soaring inflation and to reduce budget deficit as part of the 2018 US$56bln Stand-by Agreement with the IMF. On 17 April […]
Americas: Brazil’s Petrobras cancels diesel price hike amid ongoing divestment efforts Sectors: gas and oil Key Risks: political interference; business disruption In Brazil, state-owned oil company Petrobras cancelled a planned 5.7 per cent diesel price hike, causing its shares to fall by 8 per cent as uncertainty increased amongst investors over political interference in Petrobras’s […]
Americas: Agreement to end two-month blockade at Peru’s Las Bambas copper mine reached Sectors: extractive industries Key Risks: force majeure; civil unrest; disruptive blockades; protests In Peru, the indigenous Fuerabamba community agreed to end a two-month blockade affecting Chinese MMG’s Las Bambas copper mine exports and production in return for economic concessions. Shipments of copper […]
Americas: Venezuela to face heightened tensions, risk of escalation Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; military intervention; sanctions; arbitrary arrests; civil unrest In Venezuela, tensions are expected to continue to heighten as discontent over persistent massive nationwide blackouts and water shortages add weight to the ongoing unprecedented crisis. Moreover, the recent arrival of Russian […]
Americas: US pressure on Havana intensifies as lawsuits against Cuban entities allowed Sectors: all Key Risks: business disruption; diplomatic fallout; confiscation Recent US measures are set to increase bilateral tension with Cuba. On 19 March a so far never used Cuban embargo measure – Title III rule of the Helms-Burton Act – took effect. Certain […]
Americas: Guyana to miss snap election deadline, constitutional crisis looms Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; governability In Guyana, the 21 March deadline to hold snap elections is fast approaching. The vote will not take place, heightening the risk of a constitutional crisis. On 21 December 2018 opposition leader Bharrat Jagdeo and his People’s Progressive […]
Americas: Nicaraguan opposition threatens to end dialogue absent government concessions Sectors: all Key Risks: business disruption; political instability; civil unrest; security force crackdown In Nicaragua, progress in the recently resumed negotiations between the government and the opposition will remain elusive unless President Daniel Ortega shows signs of commitment to the opposition’s demands. On 10 March […]
Americas: Petroperu’s pipeline resumes operations; Las Bambas blockades continue Sectors: mining; metals; oil and gas; Key Risks: business disruption; targeted attacks; protests In Peru, state-owned oil company Petroperu’s pipeline in Loreto region resumed operations while disruptive action against extractive industries continues. On 1 March Petroperu announced that its Norperuano pipeline had resumed operations as repairs […]
