Americas: Petro and Hernandez to face off on Colombia’s 19 June presidential runoff Sectors: all; extractives sector Key Risks: policy uncertainty; political stability; business and economic risks In Colombia, leftist Senator and former guerrilla Gustavo Petro and businessman Rodolfo Hernandez will face off in a highly uncertain presidential runoff on 19 June. Recent polls suggest […]
Americas: US sanctions on Venezuelan oil set to ease, pressure for political dialogue to increase Sectors: all; oil sector Key Risks: sanctions; business risks In Venezuela, pressure for the resumption of talks between President Nicolas Maduro’s government and the US-backed opposition is set to increase as the US appears ready to partially ease sanctions on […]
Americas: Peru’s President Castillo to face further pressure amid fresh criminal probe Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; corruption; governability; civil unrest In Peru, leftist President Pedro Castillo is set to face growing pressure over his alleged involvement in another corruption probe which risks further affecting his plummeting popularity. On 29 May the Attorney General’s […]
Americas: Colombia’s presidential elections likely to result in June runoff, political uncertainty Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence and uncertainty; policy continuity; business and economic risks In Colombia, presidential elections scheduled for 29 May are expected to lead to a 19 June runoff between leftist frontrunner Gustavo Petro and either centre-right Federico Gutierrez or independent […]
Americas: Chile’s Constituent Assembly rejects major mining overhaul; changes still expected Sectors: mining Key Risks: regulatory uncertainty; business risks In Chile, on 14 May the Constituent Assembly (CA) in charge of drafting a new constitution rejected Article 27 – a key proposal which included provisions granting the state exclusive rights to mine lithium and other […]
Americas: Gulf Clan ends deadly armed strike, risk of violence to remain high in Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: violent crime; armed attacks; arson In Colombia, the risk of further violence will remain high despite the apparent end of a four-day ‘armed strike’ by the Gulf Clan – the country’s largest organised criminal group. Authorities […]
Americas: Risk of violence high after Lasso invokes SoE amid rampant gang crime in Ecuador Sectors: all Key Risks: violent crime; gang-related violence; civil unrest In Ecuador, the risk of violent confrontations between the security forces and criminal groups will remain high over the coming weeks after President Guillermo Lasso declared a 60-day state of […]
Americas: Peru’s mining sector, copper output at risk of further disruption due to unrest Sectors: mining; extractive industries Key Risks: civil unrest; business disruption In Peru, the risk of unrest affecting the key mining sector will remain high over the coming weeks despite protesters reportedly lifting their 52-day-long protest at Southern Copper’s Cuajone copper mine. […]
Americas: Mexico’s AMLO to continue to prioritise state over private sector despite major defeat Sectors: all; electricity; mining; oil and gas Key Risks: regulatory changes; contract frustration; nationalisations In Mexico, President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) will continue to prioritise the state over private players in the country’s key sectors despite a major defeat in […]
Americas: Lula appoints Alckmin as running mate to widen support ahead of October elections in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: business and economic risks; political stability In Brazil, leftist former president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva named former Sao Paulo governor Geraldo Alckmin as his running mate for the 2 October presidential elections amid shifting […]
Americas: Risk of disruptive, violent unrest remains high in Peru despite five-day truce Sectors: all; cargo transport, agriculture Key Risks: business and economic risks; supply chain disruption; civil unrest In Peru, the risk of disruptive, violent unrest will remain high over the coming days despite a five-day truce in place until 7 April, agreed by […]
Americas: Centrist candidates to face off in Costa Rica’s tight 3 April presidential runoff Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy uncertainty; governability In Costa Rica, former centrist president Jose Maria Figueres of the National Liberation Party (PLN) and former finance minister Rodrigo Chaves will face off in a tight presidential runoff on 3 April. […]
