Ones to Watch: 31 October 2016
Americas: PDVSA’s woes continue Sectors: hydrocarbon Key Risks: non-payment; foreign exchange shortage; political instability; civil unrest US federal prosecutors are preparing to charge several individuals and confiscate their property over the alleged looting of Venezuelan state oil company PDVSA. Those investigated are alleged to have taken bribes from third parties to award inflated contracts through […]
Ones to Watch: 23 October 2016
Americas: Tension in Venezuela scales-up Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; social unrest; political violence In Venezuela, political and social tensions are set to increase over the coming week with a potential for associated violent unrest across the country’s main urban centres. The opposition MUD coalition called on Venezuelans to peacefully take to the […]
Ones to Watch: 17 October 2016
Americas: Peru continues to face mining-related violent unrest Sectors: mining, energy Key Risks: civil unrest, business interruption In Peru, further violent unrest against China’s MMG Las Bambas copper mine in the south-central Apurimac region cannot be ruled out. On 14 October a protester was killed and several others were injured as demonstrations against the mine […]
Ones to Watch: 10 October 2016
Americas: Venezuelan opposition to take to the streets Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political instability In Venezuela, the MUD opposition coalition called on Venezuelans to take to the streets across the country on 12 October to demand that electoral authorities speed-up the recall referendum process against President Nicolas Maduro. The second phase of the […]
Ones to Watch: 3 October 2016
Americas: uncertainty grows as Colombians reject FARC peace deal Sectors: all Key Risks: insurgency; terrorism; political instability In Colombia, the coming weeks will be crucial to lower the levels of uncertainty sparked after Colombians unexpectedly rejected the final peace deal signed between the government and the FARC in a national referendum on 2 October. With a […]
Ones to Watch: 26 September 2016
Americas: crucial week for government-FARC final peace deal In Colombia, the coming week will be crucial in securing a final peace agreement between the government and the FARC. On 26 September both parties plan to formally sign the final deal in Cartagena in a ceremony that is expected to pass peacefully, although rallies by those […]
Ones to Watch: 19 September 2016
Americas: Mexico City to face unrest during students’ disappearance second anniversary In Mexico, demonstrations have been scheduled for 26 September in the capital Mexico City to mark the second anniversary of the controversial disappearance of 43 students in Iguala, Guerrero state. Associated unrest could potentially occur in other urban centres across Mexico. President Enrique Pena […]
Ones to Watch: 12 September 2016
Americas: Colombia’s FARC to ratify final peace deal In Colombia, the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) plan to hold their X National Guerrilla Conference between 17 and 23 September to ratify the final peace agreement with the government. The conference is expected to take place in San Vicente del Caguan in the southern Caqueta […]
Ones to Watch: 5 September 2016
Americas: tension in Venezuela to continue to increase In Venezuela, the opposition has called for further demonstrations to take place in the capital Caracas and across the country’s main urban centres on 7 and 14 September to demand a recall referendum against President Nicolas Maduro take place in 2016. Pro-government rallies are also planned for […]
Ones to Watch: 29 August 2016
Americas: Rousseff likely to lose impeachment trial final vote In Brazil, the Senate’s final vote on suspended President Dilma Rousseff impeachment trial is expected to take place between 30 and 31 August, with Rousseff increasingly likely to be permanently removed from the presidency. Should at least two-thirds of the 81 senators find her guilty of […]
Ones to Watch: 22 August 2016
Americas: Rousseff’s impeachment, unrest in Bolivia, Colombia’s Choco strikes In Brazil, the Senate is scheduled to begin suspended President Dilma Rousseff’s impeachment trial on 25 August. Should at least two-thirds of the 81 senators find her guilty of doctoring fiscal accounts to mask Brazil’s budget deficit Rousseff will be permanently removed from office and interim […]
Ones to Watch: 15 August 2016
Americas: Venezuela-Colombia border reopens; Olympic security; utility hike in Argentina Venezuelans will likely continue to cross en masse into neighbouring Colombia to buy mostly food and medicine following the 11 August bilateral agreement to gradually re-open the border, which was unilaterally closed by Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro nearly a year ago over security concerns. Both countries […]