Ones to Watch, 3 February 2025

Americas: Ecuador gears up for high-stakes presidential and legislative elections on 9 February Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence In Ecuador, on 9 February voters will head to the polls for legislative and presidential elections. While voters will have a choice of 16 presidential hopefuls, the voter intention polls suggest the presidential election will be […]
Ones to Watch, 27 January 2025

Americas: The ELN guerilla pledges to continue the “war of liberation” in Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: violent clashes; regional conflict In Colombia, on 24 January the ELN announced it would continue its “war of liberation” in Catatumbo region, Norte de Santander department, claiming that the dozens of captured members from the 33rd Front of […]
Ones to Watch, 20 January 2025

Americas: Heightened civil unrest risks ahead of protesters’ deadline for government in Bolivia Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest In Bolivia, on 16 January supporters of former president Evo Morales suspended protests in the capital La Paz after delivering a letter to President Luis Arce, demanding action on the economic crisis and an end to […]
Ones to Watch, 13 January 2025

Americas: Mayor killed amid rising political violence ahead of 5 February elections in Ecuador Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence; political instability; gang-related violence In Ecuador, on 11 January the Mayor of Arenillas, Eber Ponce, was shot five times by a gunman on a motorbike while driving his pickup truck in El Oro province. He […]
Ones to Watch, 6 January 2025

Americas: Opposition leader Machado calls for nationwide anti-government protests in Venezuela Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; traffic disruption In Venezuela, on 5 January opposition leader Maria Corina Machado urged supporters to demonstrate nationwide on 9 January to oust President Nicolas Maduro ahead of his 10 January inauguration for a third term. This came hours […]
Ones to Watch, 30 December 2024

Americas: Indigenous protests against maximum security prison likely to continue in Ecuador Sectors: all; cargo; mining Key Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; traffic disruption In Ecuador, on 16 December President Daniel Noboa’s government announced a suspension of the construction of a maximum-security prison in Archidona, Napo province. The announcement came in response to protests by […]
Ones to Watch, 23 December 2024

Americas: Protest against US sanctions ahead of Trump’s incoming administration in Cuba Sectors: all Key Risks: traffic disruption; bilateral tensions; civil unrest In Cuba, on 20 December thousands protested in front of the US embassy in the capital Havana over long-standing US sanctions on the country. The protest – led by President Miguel Diaz-Canel and […]
Ones to Watch, 16 December 2024

Americas: Protests against pension reform ahead of National Assembly debate in Panama Sectors: all Key Risks: traffic disruption; civil unrest; vandalism In Panama, on 17 December labour unions and the National Construction Workers’ Union (SUNTRACS) are likely to stage protests and road blocks against the proposed pension reform bill in the capital Panama City. SUNTRACS […]
Ones to Watch, 9 December 2024

Americas: Mexico’s unionised education workers set to march in Mexico City, strike nationwide Sectors: all Key Risks: traffic disruption; civil unrest In Mexico, on 9 December the National Coordinating Committee of Education Workers (CNTE) is set to mobilise a mass march in the capital Mexico City and a nationwide strike at more than 5,300 public […]
Ones to Watch, 2 December 2024
Americas: Ruling may further delay count of Puerto Rico’s 5 November election result Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability In Puerto Rico, on 27 November a judge issued a ruling in response to a lawsuit. It ordered the State Elections Commission (EC) to count early votes following ID verification – threatening to further delay the […]
Ones to Watch, 25 November 2024
Americas: Thousands protest President Petro’s reforms in major cities across Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: traffic disruption; civil unrest In Colombia, on 23 November thousands demonstrated in Cali, Valle del Cauca province; Medellin, Antioquia province; and the capital Bogota to protest President Gustavo Petro’s policies – including pension, health and labour reforms – as well […]
Ones to Watch, 18 November 2024

Americas: Uruguay gears up for run-off presidential election on 24 November Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; traffic disruption In Uruguay, on 24 November voters will head to the polls to elect President Luis Lacalle Pou’s successor in a run-off vote between Pou’s ruling centre-right coalition led by the Partido Nacional (PN) and the opposition […]