Ones to Watch
Americas: Heightened CEND risks as Pemex temporarily occupies hydrogen plant in Mexico Sectors: oil and gas Key Risks: frustration of process; CEND; business risks In Mexico, on 29 December the government decreed the immediate temporary occupation by state-owned oil firm Pemex of a hydrogen plant – operated by French company Air Liquide since 2017 – […]
Americas: Heightened protest risks in Cuba amid government plans to hike prices or cut rations Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; economic In Cuba, on 22 December President Miguel Diaz-Canel’s government stated that it would have to either increase fuel and electricity prices or reduce rations for basic supplies amid a deepening economic crisis. The […]
Americas: Risk of disruptive unrest and potential clashes in Argentina on 20 December Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; traffic disruption In Argentina, on 20 December unions and social organisations plan to protest President Javier Milei’s austerity measures in the capital Buenos Aires. On 12 December the Economy Ministry devalued the peso by […]
Americas: Chile’s second constitutional referendum to take place on 17 December Sectors: all Key Risks: policy and regulatory uncertainty; political instability; civil unrest In Chile, a second constitutional referendum is scheduled for 17 December when a new constitutional draft – the first one was rejected in 2022 by 62 per cent of votes – will […]
Americas: Canadian FQM initiates international arbitration over Cobre Panama copper mine Sectors: mining; all Key Risks: frustration of contract; international arbitration; business risks; economic In Panama, on 1 December Canadian miner FQM initiated international arbitration over a contested contract renewal with President Laurentino Cortizo’s government. On 28 November the Supreme Court unanimously ruled that the […]
Americas: Controversial referendum over Essequibo region set for 3 December in Venezuela Sectors: all; oil and gas Key Risks: external conflict; civil unrest; border tension In Venezuela, on 3 December President Nicolas Maduro’s government will hold a public referendum over the disputed oil-rich Essequibo region amid recent escalations in a long-standing territorial dispute with neighbouring […]
Americas: President-elect Noboa expected to be sworn in on 23 November in Ecuador Sectors: all Key Risks: political uncertainty; political instability; policy continuity; governability risks In Ecuador, on 23 November President-elect Daniel Noboa is expected to be sworn in to begin his truncated 18-month term. On 11 November legislator-elect Pierina Correa stated that the tentative […]
Americas: Unprecedented uncertainty ahead of Argentina’s 19 November presidential runoff Sectors: all Key Risks: political uncertainty; political instability; policy continuity; governability risks In Argentina, on 19 November Economy Minister Sergio Massa from the ruling Peronist Union por la Patria coalition will face far-right libertarian Javier Milei in a highly uncertain presidential runoff. Although Massa was […]
Americas: Heightened risk of violent clashes and protests in Honduras Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; political violence; violent clashes In Honduras, on 1 November ruling Libre party lawmakers elected Johel Zelaya as interim Attorney General, with a committee vote where their members make up a majority – even though they represent a […]
Americas: Renewed protests likely as MS party’s legal immunity set to expire in Guatemala Sectors: all; cargo transport Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; political violence; violent clashes In Guatemala, on 31 October the immunity from legal cases granted to President-elect Bernardo Arevalo’s Seed Movement (MS) party will expire. Any lawsuits filed against MS after […]
Americas: Over 40 organisations set to protest across Costa Rica on 25 October Sectors: all; transport Key Risks: civil unrest In Costa Rica, on 25 October anti-government demonstrators – including members of the National Council of Rectors (CONARE) union and 40 other student- and teacher-led social organisations – are set to protest nationwide. The protests […]
Americas: Libertarian Milei leads polls ahead of Argentina’s 22 October presidential vote Sectors: all Key Risks: policy and regulatory uncertainty; political instability; civil unrest; economic In Argentina, voters will head to the polls on 22 October in the most uncertain presidential race in the country’s recent history. The last polls to be released ahead of […]
