Americas: Thousands of teachers march to demand new labour agreement in Guatemala Sectors: all; transport Key Risks: industrial action; cargo transport In Guatemala, on 10 April thousands of teachers led by the Guatemalan Education Workers Union (STEG) demonstrated in the capital Guatemala City to demand a new labour agreement. The STEG stated that the Education […]
Date first published: 08/04/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; political impasse; separatism; civil war Risk development On 27 March Bosnia and Herzegovina issued an international arrest warrant for Republika Srpska (RS) President Milorad Dodik and the Speaker of the National Assembly of RS, Nenad Stevandic, after they left the country despite a national […]
Americas: Indigenous protests disrupt Amazon soy shipping route in Brazil Sectors: all; shipping Key Risks: economic risks; business risks; business disruptions; supply chain disruption; cargo transport In Brazil, on 26 March indigenous Munduruku people launched a protest, including a partial blockade of the Transamazonian highway near the Miritituba river port in the Amazon rainforest, Para […]
Date first published: 27/03/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political polarisation; political stability; civil unrest; political violence; governability Risk development On 26 March a five-judge Supreme Court panel unanimously ruled that former president Jair Bolsonaro will stand trial for allegedly attempting to overturn the 2022 election and stage a coup against President Luiz Inacio Lula […]
Americas: Argentina’s CGT to strike against President Milei’s austerity measures on 10 April Sectors: all; energy; hospitality; transport; financial Key Risks: business disruptions; supply chain disruption; industrial action In Argentina, on 20 March the country’s largest workers union, the General Confederation of Labour (CGT), announced a general 24-hour strike against President Javier Milei’s austerity measures […]
Date first published: 25/03/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: war at sea; regional escalation; targeted attacks; trade disruptions Risk development On 15 March the United States (US) launched extensive air and naval strikes against Huthi targets in Yemen. Over 47 strikes, conducted by fighter jets from the USS Harry Truman and US drones, targeted logistical […]
Americas: Ecuadorian government alleges sabotage responsible for oil spill, warns of attacks Sectors: all; energy sector; water sector Key Risks: business disruptions; targeted attacks; supply chain disruption In Ecuador, on 20 March President Daniel Noboa’s government claimed that the 18 March oil spill – initially blamed on a landslide – in Quininde, Esmeraldas province, was […]
Date first published: 18/03/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest, political violence, communal violence, targeted attacks, corruption Risk development On 11 March former president Rodrigo Duterte was arrested in Ninoy Aquino International Airport on an ICC warrant for crimes against humanity of murder, torture and rape, committed during his intermittent tenure as mayor of Davao […]
Americas: Thousands demonstrate in support of former president Bolsonaro in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; political polarisation In Brazil, on 16 March thousands demonstrated in support of former far-right president Jair Bolsonaro in Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro state. Protesters demanded that Congress grant amnesty to hundreds of Bolsonaro supporters […]
Date first published: 11/03/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; governance; regional escalation Risk development On 27 February Abdullah Ocalan, the imprisoned leader of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK), called for the group’s disarmament and dissolution, urging its leadership to convene a congress to finalise the decision. The PKK responded with an immediate ceasefire […]
Americas: Rice farmers launch nationwide blockades in Colombia Sectors: all; agricultural Key Risks: business disruptions; trade disruptions; supply chain disruptions; cargo transport In Colombia, on 3 March rice farmers initiated an indefinite nationwide campaign of road blockades in demand for fair prices – currently at COP180,000 (US$44) – for their harvests. The producers requested that […]
Date first published: 04/03/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: war-on-land Risk development On 28 February a meeting between United States (US) President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky at the White House ended in a disastrous public spat as the two leaders argued over Trump’s push for peace talks to end the war in […]
