Ones to Watch, 28 October 2024

Americas: Continuing blockades likely in Bolivia amid Morales assassination attempt Sectors: all Key Risks: traffic disruptions; civil unrest In Bolivia, on 27 October former president Evo Morales accused President Luis Arce’s government of an attempted assassination, alleging that his vehicle was shot at in an ambush by two vehicles near El Alto, La Paz department. […]
Moldova: At the crossroad

Date first published: 22/10/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; civil unrest Risk outlook On 20 October Moldovans voted to elect a new president and decide whether the country should enshrine in its constitution the goal of joining the European Union (EU). While President Maia Sandu won the presidential election with approximately 42 per cent […]
Ones to Watch, 21 October 2024

Americas: Uruguay gears for general elections on 27 October Sectors: all Key Risks: political continuity; traffic disruption In Uruguay, on 27 October voters will head to the polls to elect the successor to President Luis Lacalle Pou and a new parliament and also vote on two plebiscites – to potentially reform the country’s pension regime […]
Kazakhstan: From cold winter to nuclear winter

Date first published: 16/10/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: energy insecurity; environmental damage; geopolitical interests Risk development On 6 October the Central Election Commission announced that citizens overwhelmingly approved the construction of the country’s first nuclear power plant since 1995, with 71 per cent voting in favour. The plant would be built in the village of Ulken […]
Ones to Watch, 14 October 2024
Americas: At least 23 arrested, several injured in nationwide transportation sector strike in Peru Sectors: all; transport sector Key Risks: civil unrest; traffic disruption In Peru, on 11 October at least 23 people were arrested and several others were injured in the transportation sector strike in Lima, Lima region, and Callao, Callao region. Protesters demanded […]
Mali: All that glitters isn’t gold

Date first published: 08/10/2024 Key sectors: mining Key risks: political instability; economic risks; frustration of process Risk development On 28 September four senior Malian employees at Barrick Gold were arrested over alleged financial crimes. The arrests came amid tensions between Barrick Gold and Bamako over the government’s stake in the Loulo-Gountako mining complex, Kayes region. […]
Ones to Watch, 7 October 2024

Americas: Heightened security, flare-ups of gang violence likely in Haiti Sectors: all Key Risks: gang-related violence; violent crime In Haiti, on 3 October 70 people were killed and an unidentified number were injured in a shooting attack by Gran Grif gang members who burned homes and vehicles in Pont-Sonde, Artibonite department – forcing 6,270 to […]
Iran-Russia: United in isolation

Date first published: 26/09/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: war-on-land; regional escalation; geopolitical tensions Risk development On 10 September Washington accused Tehran of supplying Moscow with ballistic missiles, stating that Russia had received the deliveries and would likely deploy them in its ongoing invasion of Ukraine within weeks. In response, Washington imposed sanctions on nine Russian-flagged vessels […]
Ones to Watch, 30 September 2024
Americas: Protests likely for President-elect Sheinbaum’s inauguration ceremony in Mexico Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; traffic disruption In Mexico, on 1 October, teachers affiliated with the National Coordinator of Education Workers (CNTE), the Teaching School students and judicial workers will likely hold planned demonstrations during President-elect Claudia Sheinbaum’s inauguration in the capital Mexico City. […]
Iraq: Elections set in Kurdistan

Date first published: 19/09/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability Risk development On 20 October the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) is set to have regional elections for the first time since 2018. The elections were delayed by two years and are the first under a new electoral system. To continue reading, become a member of AKE […]
Ones to Watch, 23 September 2024

Americas: France deploys anti-riot police to contain violent protests in Martinique Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; looting In Martinique, on 22 September France deployed special anti-riot police to the overseas island territory in a move unprecedented for 65 years, following violent protests in the capital Fort-de-France arrondissement over the high cost of […]
Senegal: Opportunity from chaos

Date first published: 17/09/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political continuity; political instability; civil unrest Risk development On 12 September President Bassirou Diomaye Faye announced the dissolution of the National Assembly and scheduled new legislative elections for 17 November. This came amid growing tensions between the ruling African Patriots of Senegal for Work, Ethics and […]