Americas: Heightened security, flare-ups of gang violence likely in Haiti Sectors: all Key Risks: gang-related violence; violent crime In Haiti, on 3 October 70 people were killed and an unidentified number were injured in a shooting attack by Gran Grif gang members who burned homes and vehicles in Pont-Sonde, Artibonite department – forcing 6,270 to […]
Date first published: 26/09/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: war-on-land; regional escalation; geopolitical tensions Risk development On 10 September Washington accused Tehran of supplying Moscow with ballistic missiles, stating that Russia had received the deliveries and would likely deploy them in its ongoing invasion of Ukraine within weeks. In response, Washington imposed sanctions on nine Russian-flagged vessels […]
Americas: Protests likely for President-elect Sheinbaum’s inauguration ceremony in Mexico Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; traffic disruption In Mexico, on 1 October, teachers affiliated with the National Coordinator of Education Workers (CNTE), the Teaching School students and judicial workers will likely hold planned demonstrations during President-elect Claudia Sheinbaum’s inauguration in the capital Mexico City. […]
Date first published: 19/09/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability Risk development On 20 October the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) is set to have regional elections for the first time since 2018. The elections were delayed by two years and are the first under a new electoral system. To continue reading, become a member of AKE […]
Americas: France deploys anti-riot police to contain violent protests in Martinique Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; looting In Martinique, on 22 September France deployed special anti-riot police to the overseas island territory in a move unprecedented for 65 years, following violent protests in the capital Fort-de-France arrondissement over the high cost of […]
Date first published: 17/09/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political continuity; political instability; civil unrest Risk development On 12 September President Bassirou Diomaye Faye announced the dissolution of the National Assembly and scheduled new legislative elections for 17 November. This came amid growing tensions between the ruling African Patriots of Senegal for Work, Ethics and […]
Americas: Agricultural workers’ union calls for nationwide demonstrations in Bolivia Sectors: all Key Risks: traffic disruption; business disruption In Bolivia, on 12 September, the Tupac Katari Federation of Agricultural Workers called for nationwide indefinite demonstrations and road blockades to commence on 16 September, demanding the resignation of President Luis Arce and Vice President David Choquehuanca […]
Date first published: 05/09/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: democratic backsliding; governability Risk development On 4 September the lower house of the newly-elected Congress – sworn in on 1 September – overwhelmingly approved, with 357 votes in favour and 130 against, a controversial judicial overhaul that would introduce elections for all judges. a move supported […]
Americas: Thousands of former president Jair Bolsonaro’s supporters protest X ban in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; business disruption In Brazil, on 7 September thousands of former far-right president Jair Bolsonaro’s supporters protested the government’s 30 August suspension of Elon Musk’s X social media network – which they denounced as proof of their […]
Date first published: 29/08/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; policy uncertainty; civil unrest; economic risks Risk development On 16 August Paetongtarn Shinawatra was elected prime minister in a parliamentary vote after she was nominated by the Pheu Thai Party (PTP)-led 11-party coalition. The appointment of the 38-year-old daughter of former premier Thaksin Shinawatra […]
Americas: Opposition organisations to strike against Milei’s veto of pension reform in Argentina Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; business disruption In Argentina, on 4 September retirees and multiple opposition organisations – including the Workers’ Union of the Popular Economy – are set to protest in the capital Buenos Aires against President Javier Milei’s plan […]
Date first published: 27/08/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: war; regional escalation Risk development On 31 July Hamas political chief Ismail Haniyeh was killed in a suspected Israeli operation in Tehran, while he was attending the inauguration of new Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian. The attack caused a significant escalation of regional tensions. Both Tehran and […]
