Americas: Agricultural workers’ union calls for nationwide demonstrations in Bolivia Sectors: all Key Risks: traffic disruption; business disruption In Bolivia, on 12 September, the Tupac Katari Federation of Agricultural Workers called for nationwide indefinite demonstrations and road blockades to commence on 16 September, demanding the resignation of President Luis Arce and Vice President David Choquehuanca […]
Date first published: 05/09/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: democratic backsliding; governability Risk development On 4 September the lower house of the newly-elected Congress – sworn in on 1 September – overwhelmingly approved, with 357 votes in favour and 130 against, a controversial judicial overhaul that would introduce elections for all judges. a move supported […]
Americas: Thousands of former president Jair Bolsonaro’s supporters protest X ban in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; business disruption In Brazil, on 7 September thousands of former far-right president Jair Bolsonaro’s supporters protested the government’s 30 August suspension of Elon Musk’s X social media network – which they denounced as proof of their […]
Date first published: 29/08/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; policy uncertainty; civil unrest; economic risks Risk development On 16 August Paetongtarn Shinawatra was elected prime minister in a parliamentary vote after she was nominated by the Pheu Thai Party (PTP)-led 11-party coalition. The appointment of the 38-year-old daughter of former premier Thaksin Shinawatra […]
Americas: Opposition organisations to strike against Milei’s veto of pension reform in Argentina Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; business disruption In Argentina, on 4 September retirees and multiple opposition organisations – including the Workers’ Union of the Popular Economy – are set to protest in the capital Buenos Aires against President Javier Milei’s plan […]
Date first published: 27/08/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: war; regional escalation Risk development On 31 July Hamas political chief Ismail Haniyeh was killed in a suspected Israeli operation in Tehran, while he was attending the inauguration of new Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian. The attack caused a significant escalation of regional tensions. Both Tehran and […]
Americas: Widespread protests against constitutional reforms erupt across Mexico Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; business disruption In Mexico, on 25 August nationwide protests erupted against incumbent President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador’s proposed constitutional reforms – including subjecting 7,000 judgeships to election and removing seven autonomous bodies. Demonstrators denounced the reforms which precipitated a nationwide […]
Date first published: 15/08/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; political violence; communal violence Risk development On 8 August Nobel Peace Prize laureate and Grameen Bank founder Muhammad Yunus was sworn in to lead an interim government as chief adviser following the ouster of former prime minister Sheikh Hasina in a violent […]
Americas: Government declares state of emergency amid escalating violence in southern Jamaica Sectors: all Key Risks: violent crime; organised crime In Jamaica, on 14 August Prime Minister Andrew Holness declared a state of emergency (SoE) – typically including curfews, longer detention periods without charges and warrantless property searches – in the southern Clarendon parish after […]
Date first published: 13/08/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; political instability; economic risks Risk development On 1 August protests under the moniker #EndBadGovernment erupted in Abuja, Lagos and other major urban centres throughout the country. Protests were initially scheduled to last from 1 August to 15 August but organisers shifted the end date […]
Americas: President Arce announces referenda to address Bolivia’s economic and political crises Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political stability; economic risks In Bolivia, on 6 August leftist President Luis Arce announced national referenda on removing fuel subsidies and on the constitutionality of presidential re-elections, in a move to address the country’s ongoing economic and […]
Date first published: 06/08/2024 Key sectors: all; mining; automobile industry Key risks: civil unrest; frustration of process; business risks; supply chain disruption Risk development On 29 July thousands of people protested against Anglo-Australian mining firm Rio Tinto’s planned lithium mine in Jadar Valley in the towns of Sabac, Kraljevo, Arandjelovac and Ljig. This came after […]
