Risk Insights

  • Syria: Navigating fragile political stability
    Date first published: 7/1/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; regime change Risk Development On 29 December Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HT...
    ake-intel
    08 January 2025
  • NATO: Whatever the hell they want
    Date first published: 31/12/2024 Key sectors: all; defence Key risks: geopolitical tensions; defence spending Risk development Donald Trump’s loomin...
    ake-intel
    02 January 2025
  • South Korea: Six hours in the crosshairs
    Date first published: 12/12/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; polarisation; civil unrest; governance risks Risk development On ...
    ake-intel
    18 December 2024
  • Syria: A new era of change
    Date first published: 10/12/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: war-on-land; regime change Risk development On 8 December opposition forces, led by Hayat...
    ake-intel
    11 December 2024
  • Israel-Lebanon: Ceasefire or Déjà vu?
    Israel-Lebanon: Ceasefire or Déjà vu?
    Date first published: 03/12/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: ceasefire, regional war, geopolitical tensions Risk development On 26 November a 60-day c...
    ake-intel
    04 December 2024
  • Nigeria: Peripheral threat takes centre stage
    Date first published: 26/11/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: terrorism; internal conflict; governability risks Risk development On 8 November, at leas...
    ake-intel
    27 November 2024
  • Botswana: Fool me once, shame on me
    Date first published: 19/11/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; economic stagnation; corruption Risk development Botswana went to th...
    ake-intel
    20 November 2024
  • United States: Trump’s second term
    Date first published: 07/11/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; political polarisation Risk development Republican nominee and former presi...
    ake-intel
    13 November 2024
  • Georgia: A beacon of autocracy
    Date first published: 31/10/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; civil unrest; geopolitical tensions; corruption Risk development O...
    ake-intel
    06 November 2024
  • Indonesia: Too wide to work?
    Date first published: 29/10/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political impasse; governability; policy uncertainty; corruption Risk development On 20 ...
    ake-intel
    30 October 2024
  • Moldova: At the crossroad
    Date first published: 22/10/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; civil unrest Risk outlook On 20 October Moldovans voted to elect a ...
    ake-intel
    23 October 2024
  • Kazakhstan: From cold winter to nuclear winter
    Date first published: 16/10/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: energy insecurity; environmental damage; geopolitical interests Risk development On 6 Oct...
    ake-intel
    16 October 2024