Risk Insights
Lebanon: The balance of power changed
Date first published: 18/02/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; governability; political polarisation Risk development On 8 February...
China: DeepSeek shakes the AI world
Date first published: 12/02/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: business risks; business disruptions; economic risks Risk development On 20 January, ...
Democratic Republic of Congo: Die by the sword
Date first published: 04/02/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: insurgency; war-on-land; regional tensions Risk development On 27 January Rwandan-backed...
Gaza and the West Bank – Israel: Signed, sealed – delivered?
Date first published: 23/01/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: war-on-land; regional stability Risk development On 19 January a ceasefire agreement came...
Trinidad and Tobago: Gang violence reaches crisis point
Date first published: 09/01/2025 Key sectors: all; tourism Key risks: insecurity; gang-related violence; violent crime; economic risk Risk development...
Panama: Panama Canal at the nexus of great power competition
Date first published: 16/01/2025 Key sectors: all; maritime shipping Key risks: geopolitical conflict; supply chain disruption Risk development On 26 ...
Syria: Navigating fragile political stability
Date first published: 7/1/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; regime change Risk Development On 29 December Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HT...
NATO: Whatever the hell they want
Date first published: 31/12/2024 Key sectors: all; defence Key risks: geopolitical tensions; defence spending Risk development Donald Trump’s loomin...
South Korea: Six hours in the crosshairs
Date first published: 12/12/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; polarisation; civil unrest; governance risks Risk development On ...
Syria: A new era of change
Date first published: 10/12/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: war-on-land; regime change Risk development On 8 December opposition forces, led by Hayat...- Israel-Lebanon: Ceasefire or Déjà vu?
Israel-Lebanon: Ceasefire or Déjà vu?
Date first published: 03/12/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: ceasefire, regional war, geopolitical tensions Risk development On 26 November a 60-day c... 
Nigeria: Peripheral threat takes centre stage
Date first published: 26/11/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: terrorism; internal conflict; governability risks Risk development On 8 November, at leas...
