Risk Insights
-
Suriname: Desi desists?
Date first published: 30/06/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; policy continuity; sovereign default President Desire Delano ‘Desi... -
China – North Korea: Three nos: the mantra driving China’s North Korea Strategy
Date first published: 23/06/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: external conflict; regional stability On 16 June, North Korea demolished the Inter-Korean... -
DRC: Kamerhe corruption trial highlights President’s perennial power struggles
Date first published: 16/06/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: frustration of process; corruption; political instability On 20 June, a Kinshasa tribunal... -
European Union: A small step towards fiscal federalism
Date first published: 09/06/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: sovereign debt; economic recovery; fiscal federalism In 1790, Alexander Hamilton, the fir... -
Burundi: What next after 20 May general elections?
Date first published: 2/06/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: internal conflict; external conflict; political violence; civil unrest; economic growth Bu... -
China – US: Post-pandemic relations: more, not less, tension
Date first published: 28/05/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; economic growth; investment; trade war The United States (US)-Chin... -
Yemen: Southern separatists secede as COVID-19 catastrophe escalates
Date first published: 19/05/2020 Key sectors: all; shipping; construction Key risks: political instability; war on land On 26 April Yemen’s separati... -
Venezuela: Déjà-vu
Date first published: 12/05/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; insurrection; governability; civil unrest Attempts to oust Nicolas... -
Turkey: Another banking crisis
Date first published: 06/05/2020 Key sectors: banks; state-backed projects; sovereign Key risks: banking crisis Perhaps surprisingly, the COVID-19 pan... -
Latin America: Prison riots increase as COVID-19 spreads
Date first published: 28/04/2020 Key sectors: public security; penitentiary systems Key risks: civil unrest; riots; violent clashes The COVID-19 pande... -
Tunisia: Distressing Debt
Date first published: 21/04/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: default risks On 10 April the International Monetary Fund approved US$745m in emergency a... -
United States: The geopolitics of Federal Reserve swap lines
Date first published: 31/03/2020 The Federal Reserve prides itself on its political independence, a core tenet of how it should operate. It should mak...
