Maldives: Sinking literally and politically

Date first published: 13/02/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; debt repayments; geopolitical rivalry The Maldives’ President Abdulla Yameen has sought to crush political opposition over the course of his five years in power, either by having opponents locked up or forced into exile. Having become accustomed to obeisance, he and much of the international community were…

Ones to Watch, 19 February 2018

Americas: Brazil’s Congress to discuss government-backed pension reform Sectors: all Key Risks: policy uncertainty; delays to fiscal reform agenda In Brazil, Congress is scheduled to vote on President Michel Temer’s pension reform, a long-awaited fiscal austerity measure seen as crucial to shore up the budget. Discussions are scheduled to begin on 19 February although they…

Ones to Watch, 12 February 2018

Americas: Uncertainty over the future of ELN peace talks to persist Sectors: all Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency In Colombia, uncertainty over the future of the currently suspended peace talks between the government and the ELN guerrillas is likely to persist given a spike in ELN attacks. On 10 February President Juan Manuel Santos reiterated that…

Diamonds aren’t forever

Date: 30/01/2018 Key sectors: mining Key risks: diamond dependence One of the world’s poorest countries at independence in 1966, Botswana swiftly became one of the most successful examples of economic growth and development. Together with significant diamond wealth, good governance and prudent economic management, Botswana is now well established as an upper middle-income country. Indeed, while the past…

Ones to Watch, 5 February 2018

  Americas: US considering sanctioning Venezuelan oil to increase pressure on Maduro Sectors: all, particularly oil and gas Key Risks: sanctions; default; economic collapse US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson stated that the US is considering imposing sanctions on Venezuelan oil to increase pressure on President Nicolas Maduro to ‘return to the constitution’ and stop…