Ones to Watch, 20 May 2019

Americas: Cristina Kirchner shocks Argentina’s electoral landscape with vice-presidential bid Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; electoral uncertainty In Argentina, the government and the opposition Alternativa Federal (Federal Alternative) Peronist coalition are expected to react to former president Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner surprise move to run for the vice-presidency in the upcoming 27 October...

Burkina Faso: The next Mali?

Date first published: 14/5/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: terrorism Violence has spiralled out of control in Burkina Faso in recent months. Around 550 civilians were killed between November 2018 and April 2019, representing a staggering 7,000 per cent increase relative to the same period last year. The majority of attacks have been perpetrated by...

Ones to Watch, 13 May 2019

Americas: Pemex to build Mexico’s Dos Bocas refinery, private sector’s role remains uncertain Sectors: oil & gas Key Risks: economic and business risks; investment climate In Mexico, concerns over the role of the private sector in the oil and gas industry under leftist President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) continue. On 9 May AMLO...

Venezuela: The Gordian knot

Date first published: 9/5/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: insurrection; political instability; arbitrary arrests; civil unrest; military intervention The failure of the 30 April uprising against President Nicolas Maduro’s regime has intensified the country’s political crisis and raised the risk of escalation, at both domestic and international levels. In the early hours of that...

Ones to Watch, 7 May 2019

Americas: First lawsuits hit Cuba after US Helms Burton Act Title III took effect on 2 May Sectors: all Key Risks: business disruption; lawsuits; confiscation; diplomatic fallout In Cuba, bilateral tensions with the US are expected to further increase after the controversial activation of Title III of the 1996 Helms Burton Act on 2...