Ones to Watch, 17 September 2018

ONES TO WATCH Americas: Showdown between Peru’s executive and legislative powers to intensify Sectors: all Key Risks: governability; policy continuity; political instability In Peru, President Martin Vizcarra stepped-up pressure on the opposition-controlled Congress to approve four government-backed anti-corruption bills which require a constitutional reform. On 16 September Vizcarra asked for an extraordinary Congress session to…

Egypt: SinaISitis

Date first published: 06/09/2018 Key sectors: oil & gas; energy infrastructure; tourism Key risks: terrorism; security; business disruption The Sinai Peninsula, once a cultural, religious or beachside destination for tourists from across the globe, is now associated with terrorism and lawlessness. Beset with daily violent clashes and terrorist attacks from affiliates of Islamic State (IS), as…

Ones to Watch: 10 September 2018

Americas: Brazil’s election campaign to continue to heat up Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; political instability; civil unrest In Brazil, the election campaign ahead of the 7 October general election is expected to continue to heat up. The leftist Workers’ Party (PT) has until 11 September to name imprisoned former president Luiz Inacio Lula…

Russia: The spectre of Chechnya returns

Date first published: 28/08/2018 Key risks: civil war; terrorism Key sectors: all Local dictator Ramzan Kadyrov rules Checchnya with an iron fist and far more autonomy from the Kremlin than any other region in Russia. Sixteen years after major Russian military operations ended in the Second Chechen War, questions are being raised about whether Kadyrov’s dictatorship…

Ones to Watch: 3 September 2018

Americas: Unprecedented peso rout triggers stricter fiscal deficit targets to contain crisis Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; civil unrest; export taxes  In Argentina, President Mauricio Macri announced a cabinet reshuffle and stricter fiscal deficit targets for 2019 following an unprecedented rout on the peso that led the central bank to raise its benchmark rate…