Argentina: Primary concerns

Key sectors: all Key risks: policy continuity; political instability; currency volatility; non-payment The 11 August primary elections dramatically exacerbated Argentina’s economic and financial concerns. The defeat of centre-right President Mauricio Macri against leftist opposition candidate Alberto Fernandez, a veteran Peronist whose running mate is former president Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK), was somewhat expected. The stunning...

Ones to Watch, 19 August 2019

Americas: Argentina to face further financial turmoil as crisis intensifies Sectors: all Key Risks: economic risks; political instability; policy continuity In Argentina, further financial turmoil is expected in the lead up to and after the upcoming 27 October general elections in which President Mauricio Macri seems increasingly unlikely to be re-elected. On 17 August...

Kyrgyzstan: An elite fallout in Bishkek

Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; political violence; political stability It took two dramatic raids in order to detain ex-president Almazbek Atambayev. Although his arrest on 8 August had been on the cards for the past year, Atambayev resisted fiercely, first seeking Russian President Vladimir Putin’s protection in Moscow, and then mounting an...

AKE Special Report – Hong Kong Security Brief

AKE’s Special Report examines the security environment in Hong Kong SAR after several weeks of violent protests triggered by a proposed extradition bill that would have allowed extraditions to mainland China. The unrest has now morphed into a decentralised anti-government and pro-democracy movement. Protester tactics and the security force response have both escalated in...

Ones to Watch, 12 August 2019

Americas: Southern Copper’s Tia Maria project licence suspended due to protests in Peru Sectors: oil & gas Key Risks: business disruption; frustration of process; civil unrest In Peru, the government of President Martin Vizcarra suspended the recently issued construction permit for Southern Copper’s Tia Maria copper mining project after weeks of violent anti-mining protests in...