Ones to Watch, 16 July 2018

Americas: Privatisations plans likely to continue to stall in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: delayed privatisation plans In Brazil, a recent ruling by a Supreme Court justice stating that privatisations should be approved by Congress is likely to continue to delay several planned privatisations. On 3 July state-owned oil company Petrobras announced plans to suspend…

Mozambique: Toward an escalation of Islamist violence

Date first published: 05/07/2018 Key sectors: energy Key risks: terrorism; conflict A series of gruesome attacks by jihadist group Al Sunnah wa Jama’ah (ASWJ) in Cabo Delgado province in May and June sent shockwaves through Mozambique, a country not usually associated with Islamist militancy. On 29 May, the extremists beheaded ten villagers in Quissangana district after the local…

Ones to Watch, 9 July 2018

Americas: Haiti to face further disruption amid violent unrest over fuel price hike Sectors: all Key Risks: lootings; violent unrest; travel disruption In Haiti, violent unrest has been observed since 6 July across the country following the government’s controversial decision to raise fuel prices. The highly disruptive protests and blockades may continue over the coming…

Turkey: The President and the remaining opposition

Date first published: 26/06/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: banking crisis; lira depreciation; inflation A common joke in Turkey is that the only opposition left to President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is the lira. Any hopes that the CHP and other anti-government parties could fill that function in the medium term disappeared over the weekend; but at…

Ones to Watch, 2 July 2018

Americas: ELN and government scheduled to resume peace talks Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; terrorism; targeted attacks In Colombia, the government and the ELN guerrillas are expected to launch the sixth round of formal peace talks on 2 July in Cuba’s capital Havana. The sixth round was originally scheduled to begin on 20 June…