Ones to Watch, 7 October

Americas: Disruptive unrest over austerity measures to persist across Ecuador Sectors: all Key Risks: violent unrest; looting; travel disruption; policy continuity; governability In Ecuador, further disruptive unrest and associated violence over recently announced austerity measures are expected at least over the coming week. On 6 October indigenous groups stated they would continue to block...

Ones to Watch, 30 September 2019

Americas: Violent unrest escalates in Haiti, heightened instability expected to persist Sectors: all Key Risks: violent unrest; business disruption; looting; political instability In Haiti, an ongoing wave of violent anti-government unrest is expected to continue to intensify over the coming days. Four people have so far been killed since demonstrations reignited in early September...

Ones to Watch, 23 September 2019

Americas: Uncertainty persists amid mounting pressure to set date for snap elections in Guyana Sectors: oil & gas, mining Key Risks: policy uncertainty; political instability; FoP In Guyana, the government could announce a long-delayed snap general election date over the coming week. President David Granger scheduled a full Cabinet meeting for 24 September after...

Ones to Watch, 16 September 2019

Americas: Three-month long protests against Tia Maria copper mine could intensify in Peru Sectors: oil & gas Key Risks: business disruption; frustration of process; civil unrest In Peru, disruptive protests against Southern Copper’s controversial Tia Maria copper mine project in Arequipa region could intensify over the coming days. Demonstrations against the currently suspended project...

Ones to Watch, 9 September 2019

Americas: Brazil’s pension reform expected to pass by early October Sectors: all Key Risks: economic risks; fiscal deficit; civil unrest In Brazil, President Jair Bolsonaro’s pension reform overhauling the social security system is expected to be approved in the coming weeks. On 4 September the Senate’s constitutional affairs committee approved the main text by...