France: The King in Yellow

Date first published: 11/12/2018 Key sectors: retail; transport; pensions Key risks: civil unrest; vandalism; political instability President Emmanuel Macron caved to violent street protests, by a group known as the ‘Gilets Jaunes’ or Yellow Vests, on 10 December and announced as series of economic measures aimed at placating their demands. Macron acknowledged that his own...

Ones to Watch, 10 December 2018

Americas: Voters in Peru support anti-corruption reforms in referendum Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest Exit polls from the 9 December referendum show strong support for President Martin Vizcarra’s political and judicial reforms to target corruption and reshape the political system in Peru. Voters approved three out of four reforms, first announced...

Ones to Watch, 3 December 2018

Americas: Haiti faces fresh wave of violent anti-government protests Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political instability; business disruption In Haiti, waves of nationwide violent anti-government protests are expected to continue. At least 17 people have been killed since 18 November, when clashes intensified as demonstrators blocked streets with burning tyres in the capital Port-au-Prince...

Brazil: Bolsonaro

Date first published: 22/11/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: policy uncertainty; governability The election of far-right former captain Jair Bolsonaro as Brazil’s next president has arguably been the biggest surprise in Latin America’s 2017-2018 super-electoral cycle. The unprecedented levels of uncertainty observed throughout Brazil’s electoral process is far from ending given the room for populist,...

Ones to Watch, 26 November 2018

Americas: Leftist AMLO to take office in Mexico on 1 December Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; political instability; currency volatility In Mexico, leftist president-elect Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) will take office on 1 December amid persistent uncertainty over his future policies. AMLO’s security strategy includes creating a 50,000-strong National Guard as part...