Risk Insights

  • Syria: The return of Bashar al-Assad to the Arab fold
    Date first published: 01/06/2023 Key sectors: all Key risks: internal conflict; political stability; political violence   Risk development On 19 ...
    07 June 2023
  • Russia: (In)significant incursion
    Date first published: 30/05/2023 Key sectors: all Key risks: war on land Risk development On 21 May members of the Russian anti-Kremlin partisan gro...
    31 May 2023
  • Thailand: Moving forward
    Date first published: 18/05/2023 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; policy uncertainty; civil unrest; coup d’état   Risk devel...
    25 May 2023
  • Pakistan: What happens next?
    Date first published: 16/05/2023 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest, political violence, economic crisis Risk development Pakistan is facing the...
    17 May 2023
  • Armenia-Azerbaijan: Baku’s checkpoint and difficult talks
    Date first published: 04/05/2023 Key sectors: all Key risks: war on land; civil unrest Risk description On 23 April Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry annou...
    10 May 2023
  • Turkey: Erdogan’s power struggle
    Date first published: 02/05/2023 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; economic policy; civil unrest   Risk development The 14 May pre...
    03 May 2023
  • United States: Trump and DeSantis
    Date first published: 25/04/2023 Key sectors: all Key risks: political polarisation; civil unrest   Risk development In January 2016 Donald Trump...
    26 April 2023
  • Mexico: Trouble in paradise?
    Date first published: 13/04/2023 Key sectors: tourism; all Key risks: organised crime; violent crime; kidnapping; extortion; business disruption   Ri...
    19 April 2023
  • Saudi Arabia – Worldwide: ‘Saudi First’ policy shakes up oil markets
    Date first published: 11/04/2023 Key sectors: oil and gas Key risks: inflation; supply deficit; political tensions   Risk development: On 2 April...
    12 April 2023
  • Israel: Ben-Gvir’s private paramilitary force
    Date first published: 04/04/2023 Key sectors: all Key risks: political violence; internal conflict    Risk development On 27 March after 12 cons...
    05 April 2023
  • Central African Republic: Pointing the trigger finger
    Date first published: 28/03/2023  Key sectors: all; mining  Key risks: terrorism   Risk development On 19 March nine Chinese workers were killed an...
    29 March 2023
  • Argentina: Drug violence (finally) in the spotlight
    Date first published: 21/03/2023 Key sectors: all Key risks: drug trafficking; targeted killings; arson attacks; extortion; crime-related violence &nb...
    22 March 2023