Argentina: Primary concerns

Key sectors: all Key risks: policy continuity; political instability; currency volatility; non-payment The 11 August primary elections dramatically exacerbated Argentina’s economic and financial concerns. The defeat of centre-right President Mauricio Macri against leftist opposition candidate Alberto Fernandez, a veteran Peronist whose running mate is former president Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK), was somewhat expected. The stunning...

Kyrgyzstan: An elite fallout in Bishkek

Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; political violence; political stability It took two dramatic raids in order to detain ex-president Almazbek Atambayev. Although his arrest on 8 August had been on the cards for the past year, Atambayev resisted fiercely, first seeking Russian President Vladimir Putin’s protection in Moscow, and then mounting an...

Russia: Moscow’s summer of rage

Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; political violence; political stability As Moscow’s summer of 2018 is remembered for the exuberant FIFA World Cup festivities that lit up the capital, the summer of 2019 will be remembered as the ‘summer of rage’ due to the largest protests the city has seen since 2011, and...

Hong Kong SAR: Triad gangs at work

Date first published: 30/7/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: political violence; civil unrest; organised crime The ongoing demonstrations in Hong Kong began in early June, sparked by a now suspended bill that would have allowed the extradition of individuals to mainland China for the first time. The unrest has since escalated into unprecedented chaos, with the...

Puerto Rico: ‘Chatgate’, another crisis on the precipice of debt deal

Date first published: 23/7/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; political instability; debt crisis Puerto Rico has plunged into a fresh and severe political crisis since 13 July when mass anti-government protests erupted. The demonstrations followed the publication of private group chat messages between Governor Ricardo Rossello and members of his administration, including misogynist...