Venezuela: The Guaido-Maduro showdown intensifies

Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; sanctions; governability; civil unrest On 5 January Nicolas Maduro’s regime moved to seize control of the National Assembly (NA), the only state institution theretofore controlled by the opposition. The NA is also the opposition’s last democratic foothold: the 2015 legislative elections in which it won 112 of...

South Sudan: The ceasefire holds, for now

Date first published: 10 December 2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: internal conflict; political instability The 12 November deadline for the leaders of South Sudan’s warring parties to form a unity government has come and passed, with no new cabinet in place. On 7 November President Salva Kiir and his former deputy Riek Machar...

Hong Kong SAR: The siege of PolyU

Key sectors: all Key risks: political violence; internal conflict On 26 November a 50-strong group made up of security guards, councillors, Red Cross doctors and university management entered the Polytechnic University (PolyU) campus in Hung Hom to look for the handful of students believed to still be inside, while riot police remained stationed outside....