Ecuador: Fuel subsidies end, violent protests begin

Date first published: 10 October 2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: political violence; civil unrest; political instability Indigenous-led protests are back and threaten to destabilise yet another Ecuadorian government. The fact that such protests toppled three presidents in the late 1990s and early 2000s certainly adds to growing concerns over the governability prospects of...

Saudi Arabia: Unfriendly neighbours

Key sectors: oil & gas Key risks: business disruption; regional instability; cyber-security Around 03:30 on 14 September several projectiles hit state-owned oil firm Aramco’s oil processing facilities Abqaiq and Khurais, causing huge fires which took hours to control. Output was cut by around 5.7m bpd; 50 per cent of Aramco’s output or 5 per...

Guatemala: State of emergency

Key sectors: all Key risks: violent crime; deadly clashes; extortion; political violence On 4 September President Jimmy Morales declared a 30-day state of emergency (SoE) in 22 municipalities in six north-eastern departments a day after three soldiers were killed and five injured by alleged drug traffickers in El Estor, Izabal department. The SoE put...

Israel – Lebanon: Is war on the cards?

Key sectors: defence; all Key risks: war on land On 26 August two drones crashed into the Dahiyah district of Beirut, one into Hizbullah’s media centre, before the second exploded in mid-air, damaging the building. Lebanese and Hizbullah officials reported that the drones were Israeli and media consensus is much the same. The day...