Risk Insights

  • Guatemala: State of emergency
    Guatemala: State of emergency
    Key sectors: all Key risks: violent crime; deadly clashes; extortion; political violence On 4 September President Jimmy Morales declared a 30-day stat...
    18 September 2019
  • Israel – Lebanon: Is war on the cards?
    Key sectors: defence; all Key risks: war on land On 26 August two drones crashed into the Dahiyah district of Beirut, one into Hizbullah’s media cen...
    11 September 2019
  • Colombia: New group, new war
    Key sectors: all Key risks: insurgency; targeted attacks; terrorism; armed clashes On 29 August Ivan Marquez, the former FARC guerrilla’s second in ...
    06 September 2019
  • Argentina: Primary concerns
    Key sectors: all Key risks: policy continuity; political instability; currency volatility; non-payment The 11 August primary elections dramatically ...
    22 August 2019
  • Kyrgyzstan: An elite fallout in Bishkek
    Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; political violence; political stability It took two dramatic raids in order to detain ex-president Almazbek ...
    15 August 2019
  • Russia: Moscow’s summer of rage
    Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; political violence; political stability As Moscow’s summer of 2018 is remembered for the exuberant FIFA Wo...
    08 August 2019
  • Hong Kong SAR: Triad gangs at work
    Date first published: 30/7/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: political violence; civil unrest; organised crime The ongoing demonstrations in Hong Kon...
    31 July 2019
  • Puerto Rico: ‘Chatgate’, another crisis on the precipice of debt deal
    Date first published: 23/7/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; political instability; debt crisis Puerto Rico has plunged into a fresh and...
    24 July 2019
  • US-EU-Iran: Exorbitant privilege to sanction
    Date first published: 11/7/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: sanctions Former French prime minister and then finance minister Valery Giscard d’Estai...
    18 July 2019
  • China: The Baoshang Backlash
    Key sectors: finance Key risks: liquidity risks; credit risks On 24 May the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced that Inner Mongolia-based Baosha...
    04 July 2019
  • Turkey: Is a win for Istanbul a win for Turkey?
    Date first published: 25/6/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; business risk; contract frustration On 23 June Republican PeopleR...
    27 June 2019
  • Kenya-Somalia: Toward a precipice
    Date first published: 18/6/2019 Key sectors: oil and gas Key risks: territorial dispute; external conflict; terrorism A long-standing dispute over th...
    20 June 2019