Risk Insights

  • Russia: Much ado about Moscow
    Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; civil unrest; economic Since 15 January Russia has experienced a tumultuous series of political event...
    24 January 2020
  • Venezuela: The Guaido-Maduro showdown intensifies
    Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; sanctions; governability; civil unrest On 5 January Nicolas Maduro’s regime moved to seize contro...
    17 January 2020
  • Armenia-Azerbaijan-Turkmenistan: Iran crisis threatens its northern Eurasian neighbours
    Key sectors: all Key risks: trade disruption; refugee crisis; energy market disruption; conflict The dramatic assassination of Islamic Revolutionary G...
    09 January 2020
  • South Sudan: The ceasefire holds, for now
    Date first published: 10 December 2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: internal conflict; political instability The 12 November deadline for the leaders o...
    16 December 2019
  • Papua New Guinea: A will but not necessarily a way for Bougainville
    Date first published: 05 December 2019 Key sectors: mining Key risks: political stability; internal conflict On 7 December, polling for whether the Au...
    06 December 2019
  • Hong Kong SAR: The siege of PolyU
    Key sectors: all Key risks: political violence; internal conflict On 26 November a 50-strong group made up of security guards, councillors, Red Cross ...
    29 November 2019
  • Bolivia: Legitimacy crisis
    Key sectors: all Key risks: policy continuity; political stability; governability; civil unrest Bolivia’s government is facing an unprecedented legi...
    21 November 2019
  • Saudi Arabia: Will the behemoth Aramco float or flounder?
    Key sectors: oil & gas Key risks: business disruption; contract frustration; policy uncertainty On 1 May 2015 Saudi’s oil behemoth and state cor...
    18 November 2019
  • Indonesia: Flip-flopping its way to EV supremacy
    Key sectors: mining; metals Key risks: policy uncertainty; business risks On 28 October the government ordered a temporary immediate ban on exports of...
    08 November 2019
  • Chile: Surprising violence
    Key sectors: all Key risks: looting; arson attacks; violent clashes; civil unrest; policy continuity Chile’s latest wave of civil unrest – the lar...
    31 October 2019
  • United Kingdom: Over to EU
    Key Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; elections; trade disruptions On 22 October, parliament voted to support Prime Minister Boris John...
    25 October 2019
  • Hong Kong SAR: IEDs and firebombs in Asia’s finance hub
    Date first published: 15 October 2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: political violence; internal conflict On 13 October, during the latest wave of city-...
    18 October 2019