Ones to Watch, 6 November 2017

Americas: Extractive industries to continue to face risk of disruptive unrest across Peru Sectors: extractive industries Key Risks: disruptive blockades; violent unrest; business interruption   In Peru, the extractive industries sector remains exposed to the risk of disruptive unrest. This risk is unlikely to significantly decrease over the coming months despite government efforts to strike…

Who is Ksenia Sobchak, presidential candidate?

Date first published: 24/10/2017 Key sectors: none Key risks: none Ksenia Sobchak is a distraction. Her presidential candidacy poses no risks to the Russian elite, of which she is a member as the daughter of President Vladimir Putin’s mentor, Anatoly Sobchak. She has no policies regarding Russia’s energy industry, the dominant sector of the economy. Sobchak has no…

Ones to Watch, 30 October 2017

Americas: Colombia’s nationwide civic strike to continue to intensify Sectors: oil; cargo transport Key Risks: disruptive blockades; violent unrest; targeted violence   In Colombia, a nationwide indefinite strike launched on 23 October by rural workers and social organisations to demand the government fulfil the peace agreement with the FARC is set to continue to intensify…

The challenge agreeing on Basel IV

Date first published: 17/10/2017 Key sectors:finance Key risks:regulation; financial crisis; credit risk As memories of the 2008 global financial crisis fade, the risk increases that governments, regulators and banks relax their standards. In the aftermath of the crisis, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision agreed upon the Third Basel Accord (Basel III). With the support of national…

AKE Special Report: Damming the Nile

Date published: 20/10/2017 Analysis of the potential impacts of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) project The River Nile is under the ever-growing pressures of population growth and climate change. For Ethiopia, the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam represents a milestone in its development that could enhance growth and propel a shift to manufacturing. For Egypt, where…