Turkey: Is a win for Istanbul a win for Turkey?

Date first published: 25/6/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; business risk; contract frustration On 23 June Republican People’s Party (CHP) candidate Ekrem Imamoglu defeated ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) candidate Binali Yildirim in the rerun of Istanbul’s mayoral election, winning 54 per cent of the vote. Imamoglu won a narrow victory in...

Ones to Watch, 24 June

Americas: Violent anti-government protests reignite in Haiti   Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political instability; business disruption In Haiti, violent protests demanding President Jovenel Moise step down will continue to heighten political instability risks as shown by the latest wave of unrest which erupted on 9 June. Since then, at least four people...

Kenya-Somalia: Toward a precipice

Date first published: 18/6/2019 Key sectors: oil and gas Key risks: territorial dispute; external conflict; terrorism A long-standing dispute over the delimitation of the Kenya-Somalia maritime boundary has reached a boiling point following Mogadishu’s purported auction of oil blocks in a disputed area of the Indian Ocean. Both sides have escalated the tiff through bellicose...

Ones to Watch, 17 June 2019

Americas: Government to support mining sector as local referendums loom in Ecuador Sectors: mining; extractive industries Key Risks: FoP; local referendums; judicial instability In Ecuador, on 13 June the government announced that Australia’s SolGold’s Cascabel project in Imbabura province could become one of the largest mines in the world. Cascabel is in an advanced exploration...

Tunisia: Chahed’s Challenges

Date first published: 11/6/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability The new kid on Tunisia’s fractious political block has elected an unsurprising new leader. Tahya Tunis, a splinter party of officials who defected from the ruling Nidaa Tunis party, elected current Prime Minister Yussif Chahed as party head on 2 June. The party was...