Malaysia: Mahathir’s unlikely comeback

Date first published: 22/05/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability The stunning election victory of 92-year old Mahathir Mohamad and his then-opposition Pakatan Harapan (PH) coalition on 9 May marked a historic turning point for Malaysia as PH secured an outright majority in Parliament. Equally as impressive is the fact that the country’s first transition…

Ones to Watch, 21 May 2018

Americas: Colombia to hold presidential election on 27 May Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence; policy continuity In Colombia, presidential elections are scheduled to take place on 27 May. According to the last polls to be published before the vote, centre-right Democratic Centre party candidate Ivan Duque remains the frontrunner. According to Invamer, Duque is…

Nicaragua: The end of relative calm

Date: 01/05/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: violent unrest; policy instability; lootings Recent nationwide anti-government demonstrations ended Nicaragua’s status as a regional haven of relative calm and stability. Since the end of the 1980s civil war, power has been heavily concentrated within the executive branch, dominated by President Daniel Ortega, a former guerrilla leader who became president in…

Papua New Guinea: The earthquake’s aftershock to the LNG industry

Date: 24/04/2018 Key sectors: liquefied natural gas (LNG); tourism; NGOs Key risks: natural disasters; violent unrest; tribal conflict On 26 February a 7.5 magnitude earthquake hit Papua New Guinea’s (PNG) Southern Highlands province, killing over 100 people and leaving hundreds of thousands in need of humanitarian assistance. The affected area is also home to many of the country’s…