Democratic Republic of Congo: Trouble ahead

Date first published: 3/1/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; political violence; civil unrest; internal conflict On 30 December over 46 million voters were called upon to cast their ballot in historical elections that could, in theory, see the first-ever democratic transfer of power in the Democratic Republic of Congo. In reality, the prospects...

Ones to Watch, 31 December 2018

Americas: Bolsonaro to be inaugurated on 1 January 2019 Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; business disruption Brazil’s far-right president-elect Jair Bolsonaro will take office on 1 January amid continuous controversy surrounding his forthcoming administration. Bolsonaro’s policies include promises save the country’s crumbling economy, expand activity in protected Amazon reserves, drain the country’s political wetland...

Ones to Watch, 24 December 2018

Americas: US besotted with political turmoil driven by Trump, Chile protests likey Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; business disruption Following the US government shutdown on 22 December prompted by President Donald Trump’s decision not to approve any budget bill that does not include at least US$5bln in spending for his desired ‘border wall,’ disruption should be...

Ethiopia: Ahmed’s security paradox

Date first published: 13/12/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: internal conflict; political instability Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s ambitious reform agenda was designed to assuage ethnic strife and foster political stability. It has had the opposite effect. The return of previously banned ethno-political movements into the political fold has caused inter-communal conflict to spike. Ahmed’s attempts...

Ones to Watch, 17 December 2018

Americas: Government crackdown on dissent continues to intensify in Nicaragua Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; business disruption In Nicaragua, the government will likely continue to intensify the ongoing crackdown on dissent. On 13 December Congress stripped five NGOs critical of President Daniel Ortega of their legal status, meaning they can no...