Ones to Watch
Americas: President Vizcarra proposes referendum on reforms to tackle Peruvian corruption Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; corruption fallout; political instability In Peru, President Martin Vizcarra urged the opposition-run Congress to call a referendum on judicial and political reforms aimed at eradicating institutional corruption. The vote would include judicial reforms and a ban on private […]
Americas: Strikes loom in Chile’s copper mines Sectors: mining Key Risks: labour strikes; unrest; business interruption In Chile, a strikes loom in copper mines as contract negotiations with workers has yet to reach an agreement. On 19 July negotiations between Lumina Copper’s Caserones mine and its workers’ union broke down, with the union calling for […]
Americas: Privatisations plans likely to continue to stall in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: delayed privatisation plans In Brazil, a recent ruling by a Supreme Court justice stating that privatisations should be approved by Congress is likely to continue to delay several planned privatisations. On 3 July state-owned oil company Petrobras announced plans to suspend […]
Americas: Haiti to face further disruption amid violent unrest over fuel price hike Sectors: all Key Risks: lootings; violent unrest; travel disruption In Haiti, violent unrest has been observed since 6 July across the country following the government’s controversial decision to raise fuel prices. The highly disruptive protests and blockades may continue over the coming […]
Americas: ELN and government scheduled to resume peace talks Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; terrorism; targeted attacks In Colombia, the government and the ELN guerrillas are expected to launch the sixth round of formal peace talks on 2 July in Cuba’s capital Havana. The sixth round was originally scheduled to begin on 20 June […]
Americas: Mexico set to elect leftist president amid record-high violence Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; targeted political violence; contract alteration In Mexico, general elections are scheduled to take place on 1 July. Leftist candidate Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) of the MORENA party has consistently been the frontrunner in the polls and is expected […]
Americas: Dialogue to ease tensions to remain at risk in Nicaragua Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy continuity; violent unrest In Nicaragua, the government and opposition representatives resumed a Catholic Church-mediated dialogue on 15 June to try to end a crisis in which at least 178 people have been killed since 18 April. Despite […]
Americas: Right-wing Duque increasingly likely to win Colombia’s 17 June presidential runoff Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence; policy continuity In Colombia, a presidential runoff is scheduled to take place on 17 June. Right-wing Democratic Centre (DC) party candidate Ivan Duque leads in the last poll released before the upcoming vote. According to the poll, […]
Americas: Colombia to hold presidential election on 27 May Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence; policy continuity In Colombia, presidential elections are scheduled to take place on 27 May. According to the last polls to be published before the vote, centre-right Democratic Centre party candidate Ivan Duque remains the frontrunner. According to Invamer, Duque is […]
Americas: Security continues to deteriorate in Ecuador’s northern border Sectors: all Key Risks: terrorism; targeted attacks; kidnapping; extortion In Ecuador, further security-force operations should be expected in the northern provinces bordering Colombia as the government increases efforts to crackdown and capture members of the Oliver Sinisterra Front, a criminal group made up of former Colombian […]
Americas: Nicaragua to remain at risk of further violent unrest Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy continuity; violent unrest In Nicaragua, the risk of further unrest and associated violence will persist at least over the coming months, despite President Daniel Ortega’s decision on 22 April to cancel controversial social security reforms approved on 16 […]
Americas: Cuba to undergo heavily controlled presidential transition Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy continuity In Cuba, 19 April will mark the end of the Castro era. The National Assembly’s 605 lawmakers endorsed in the 11 March one-party vote are expected to elect 57-year old First Vice President Miguel Diaz-Canel as the communist country’s […]
